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Current Win Probability
Sheffield United 52.1%
Draw 26.9%
Derby County 21%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.4%
26%
21.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.3%
29.4%
19.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sheffield United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheffield United than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sheffield United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
84.2%
5.3%
10.5%
Sheffield United - Derby County Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Sheff Utd (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Sheff Utd (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +0.5 - Sheff Utd (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Sheffield United will win
(16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%). Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sheffield United will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Sheff Utd (votes: 8 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cooper M. (G) 2. Tanganga J. 25. McGuinness M. 15. Mee B. 19. Ogbene C. 42. Peck S. 18. Soumare D. 3. McCallum S. 10. O'Hare C. 11. Brooks A. 23. Campbell T.
1. Widell Zetterstrom J. (G) 6. Langas S. 28. Sanderson D. 5. Clarke M. 23. Ward J. 42. Clark B. 18. Ozoh D. 3. Forsyth C. 25. Brereton Diaz B. 7. Agyemang P. 9. Morris C.
Substitutes
6. Bindon T. 14. Burrows H. 17. Davies A. (G) 22. Davies T. 9. Ings D. 28. Matos A. 40. Nwachukwu C. 26. One R. 44. Riedewald J.
32. Adams E. 4. Batth D. 11. Blackett-Taylor C. 10. Brewster R. 19. Jackson K. 24. Nyambe R. 15. Salvesen L. 31. Vickers J. (G) 14. Weimann A.
Coaches
Wilder C.
Eustace J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Morris C. ⚽, Ward J. (A),
35', Forsyth C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', 0 - 2, Morris C. ⚽,
60', Brooks A. ↓, One R. ↑,
60', McGuinness M. ↓, Matos A. ↑,
62', Soumare D. 🟨,
63', 0 - 3, Morris C. (Pen),
68', Soumare D. ↓, Davies T. ↑,
68', Mee B. 🟨,
73', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Brewster R. ↑,
73', 1 - 3, O'Hare C. ⚽,
79', Ogbene C. ↓, Ings D. ↑,
79', McCallum S. ↓, Burrows H. ↑,
80', Agyemang P. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
80', Clark B. ↓, Adams E. ↑,
87', Morris C. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sheff Utd won 4.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Sheff Utd may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Derby has had a series of home games.
In this match, Sheff Utd is the team to beat.
There will not play in Sheff Utd: Arblaster O.
(Knee Injury)
Chong T.
(Knee Injury)
Davies T.
(Calf Injury)
Godfrey B.
(Personal Reasons)
Hamer G.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Derby: Beck O.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Nelson C.
(Knee Injury)
Travis L.
(Inactive)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sheff Utd won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.5:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Sheff Utd won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.7:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Sheffield United - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 52.44%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.