The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Queens Park Rangers 52.9%
Draw 25.1%
Derby County 21.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.2%
25.9%
22.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
25.2%
22.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Queens Park Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Queens Park Rangers - Derby County Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Championship Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 22nd in the Relegation - League One).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, QPR won 2.
QPR has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Derby has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Derby could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to QPR for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, QPR has recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:20 (averaging 0.9:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for QPR against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 13:8 goals (averaging 1.4:0.9 per game).
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