Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 15 July 2026, Wednesday


	Derio		Athletic Bilbao

	1	X	2
	31.00	17.50	1.02
	16.00	12.00	1.05
	14.00	10.50	1.01
	22.77	18.41	1.02	Watch
	33.00	8.00	1.01
	49.00	21.00	1.02	Watch
	56.00	11.25	1.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	31.68 ↑ (18)	14.09 ↑ (8.7)	1.02 ↓ (1.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derio
2.9%

Draw
6.6%

Athletic Bilbao
90.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

5.2%

10.8%

84%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Athletic Bilbao's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Derio - Athletic Bilbao Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Derio will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Athletic will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Velarde A. (G) 16. Asier 6. Boada U. 10. Carreras Arino G. 22. Diaz O. 17. Egileor 15. Eskurza L. 8. Guipu (C) 7. Mikel 2. Quevedo U. 24. Santamaria A.	27. Padilla A. (G) 5. Alvarez Y. 17. Berchiche Y. 7. Berenguer A. . Canales P. 40. Gift E. 11. Guruzeta G. 18. Jauregizar M. 4. Paredes A. 24. Prados Diaz B. 2. Rincon H.
Substitutes
20. Barrena A. 5. Calderon E. 14. De Urbina M. 12. Esparza R. 9. Fernandez A. 1. Jayo M. (G) 21. Lacuesta Terre A. 23. Txabo	12. Areso J. 19. Boiro A. 14. Djalo A. 15. Gerenabarrena B. . Louis-Jean J. . Monreal I. 23. Navarro R. 30. Rego A. 16. Ruiz de Galarreta I. 8. Sancet O. 33. Sanchez S. 21. Sannadi M. 13. Santos M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
51', 0 - 1, Navarro R. ⚽,
55', 0 - 2, Sancet O. ⚽,
80', 0 - 3, Navarro R. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, Athletic is the undisputed favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Derio
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
06.06.26	Leioa - Derio	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Derio - Leioa	0:1 ✺
24.05.26	Derio - Lagun Onak	2:0 ET ✺
26.04.26	Alavés C - Derio	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Derio - Aurrerá de Vitoria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLWWT
- Athletic Bilbao
Spanish LaLiga
23.05.26	Real Madrid - Athletic Bilbao	4:2 ✺
17.05.26	Athletic Bilbao - Celta de Vigo	1:1 ✺
13.05.26	Espanyol - Athletic Bilbao	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Athletic Bilbao - Valencia	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Deportivo Alavés - Athletic Bilbao	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTLLW

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