What is the expert prediction for Espanyol vs Athletic Bilbao?

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Espanyol vs Athletic Bilbao Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Wednesday, May 13, 2026)

Match Info

LaLiga - Round 36

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: RCDE Stadium (Cornella de Llobregat)

Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport 5, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 3
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV
Iraq	Almanasa
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga 2, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, SCTV 22, SCTV Online, TV 360


	Espanyol		Athletic Bilbao

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.3	2.7	Watch
	2.62	3.25	2.78	Watch
	2.72	3.26	2.83
	2.67	3.24	2.72	Watch
	2.63	3.1	2.7
	2.75	3.29	2.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.95)	3.24 ↓ (3.33)	2.77 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espanyol
35.9%

Draw
29.5%

Athletic Bilbao
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

28.5%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

29.4%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espanyol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athletic Bilbao could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.7%	52.6%	23.7%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Espanyol will win (votes: 9 - 23.7%). Athletic will win (votes: 9 - 23.7%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 52.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 36.7% – 68.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Espanyol (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dmitrovic M. (G) 23. El Hilali O. 38. Riedel C. 6. Cabrera L. (C) 22. Romero C. 2. Sanchez R. 4. Gonzalez U. 10. Lozano P. 20. Roca A. 8. Exposito 9. Fernandez Jaen R.	1. Simon U. (G) 12. Areso J. 3. Vivian D. 14. Laporte A. 19. Boiro A. 16. Ruiz de Galarreta I. 30. Rego A. 7. Berenguer A. 20. Gomez U. 23. Navarro R. 9. Williams I. (C)
Substitutes
32. Castell L. 1. Fortuno A. (G) 19. Garcia K. 28. Gomez F. 17. Jofre 11. Milla P. 18. Pickel C. 15. Rubio M. 12. Salinas J. 14. Terrats R. 27. Timera A. 30. Tristan P. (G)	5. Alvarez Y. 13. Egiluz U. 2. Gorosabel A. 11. Guruzeta G. 25. Izeta 18. Jauregizar M. 15. Lekue I. 27. Padilla A. (G) 4. Paredes A. 21. Sannadi M. 22. Serrano N. 6. Vesga M.
Coaches
Gonzalez M.	Valverde E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Vivian D. ↓, Alvarez Y. ↑,
63', Sanchez R. ↓, Jofre ↑,
63', Roca A. ↓, Milla P. ↑,
63', Williams I. ↓, Guruzeta G. ↑,
63', Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↓, Jauregizar M. ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Milla P. ⚽, Romero C. (A),
71', Areso J. ↓, Gorosabel A. ↑,
78', Gomez U. ↓, Serrano N. ↑,
84', Fernandez Jaen R. ↓, Garcia K. ↑,
84', Exposito ↓, Terrats R. ↑,
90+1', Gonzalez U. ↓, Pickel C. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 0, Garcia K. ⚽, Terrats R. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Espanyol won 1.

Espanyol is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Athletic has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Athletic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Espanyol: Calero F. (Yellow Cards) Dolan T. (Yellow Cards) Puado J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Athletic: Sancet O. (Muscle Injury) Williams N. (Injury)

There are questionable in Espanyol: Ngonge C. (Knee Injury) Romero C. (Injury)

There are questionable in Athletic: Laporte A. (Injury) Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Espanyol won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:25. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Espanyol won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).

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Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Espanyol	38	12	10	16	43:55	-12	46
12	Ath Bilbao	38	13	6	19	43:58	-15	45

Last Results with these Odds

Athletic Bilbao - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 39.26%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Espanyol
Spanish LaLiga
09.05.26	Sevilla - Espanyol	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Espanyol - Real Madrid	0:2 ✺
27.04.26	Espanyol - Levante	0:0 ✺
23.04.26	Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Barcelona - Espanyol	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- Athletic Bilbao
Spanish LaLiga
10.05.26	Athletic Bilbao - Valencia	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Deportivo Alavés - Athletic Bilbao	2:4 ✺
25.04.26	Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao	3:2 ✺
21.04.26	Athletic Bilbao - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Athletic Bilbao - Villarreal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
22.12.25	Athletic Bilbao - Espanyol	1:2
16.02.25	Espanyol - Athletic Bilbao	1:1
19.10.24	Athletic Bilbao - Espanyol	4:1
08.04.23	Espanyol - Athletic Bilbao	1:2
Spanish Copa del Rey
18.01.23	Athletic Bilbao - Espanyol	1:0
Spanish LaLiga
04.09.22	Athletic Bilbao - Espanyol	0:1
07.02.22	Athletic Bilbao - Espanyol	2:1

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Espanyol - Athletic Bilbao: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide