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Espanyol - Athletic Bilbao: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • LaLiga - Round 36
  • Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday
  • Location: RCDE Stadium (Cornella de Llobregat)
  • Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Espanyol Athletic Bilbao
    Espanyol Athletic Bilbao
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.67 ↓
    (2.95)    		 3.24 ↓
    (3.33)    		 2.77 ↑
    (2.42)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

    • The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Espanyol
    35.9%    		Draw
    29.5%    		Athletic Bilbao
    34.6%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    32.2% 28.5% 39.3%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    31.2% 29.4% 40.6%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Espanyol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athletic Bilbao could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    23.7% 52.6% 23.7%

    Espanyol - Athletic Bilbao Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Espanyol will win (votes: 9 - 23.7%). Athletic will win (votes: 9 - 23.7%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 52.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 36.7% – 68.5%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Espanyol (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    13. SerbiaDmitrovic M. (G)
    23. MoroccoEl Hilali O.
    38. GermanyRiedel C.
      6. UruguayCabrera L. (C)
    22. SpainRomero C.
      2. SpainSanchez R.
      4. SpainGonzalez U.
    10. SpainLozano P.
    20. SpainRoca A.
      8. SpainExposito
      9. SpainFernandez Jaen R.
    		  1. SpainSimon U. (G)
    12. SpainAreso J.
      3. SpainVivian D.
    14. SpainLaporte A.
    19. SpainBoiro A.
    16. SpainRuiz de Galarreta I.
    30. SpainRego A.
      7. SpainBerenguer A.
    20. SpainGomez U.
    23. SpainNavarro R.
      9. GhanaWilliams I. (C)
    Substitutes
    32. SpainCastell L.
      1. SpainFortuno A. (G)
    19. SpainGarcia K.
    28. SpainGomez F.
    17. SpainJofre
    11. SpainMilla P.
    18. DRPickel C.
    15. SpainRubio M.
    12. SpainSalinas J.
    14. SpainTerrats R.
    27. FranceTimera A.
    30. SpainTristan P. (G)
    		  5. SpainAlvarez Y.
    13. SpainEgiluz U.
      2. SpainGorosabel A.
    11. SpainGuruzeta G.
    25. SpainIzeta
    18. SpainJauregizar M.
    15. SpainLekue I.
    27. MexicoPadilla A. (G)
      4. SpainParedes A.
    21. MoroccoSannadi M.
    22. SpainSerrano N.
      6. SpainVesga M.
    Coaches
         SpainGonzalez M.
    		     SpainValverde E.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
    • 46', Vivian D. ↓, Alvarez Y. ↑,
    • 63', Sanchez R. ↓, Jofre ↑,
    • 63', Roca A. ↓, Milla P. ↑,
    • 63', Williams I. ↓, Guruzeta G. ↑,
    • 63', Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↓, Jauregizar M. ↑,
    • 69', 1 - 0, Milla P. ⚽, Romero C. (A),
    • 71', Areso J. ↓, Gorosabel A. ↑,
    • 78', Gomez U. ↓, Serrano N. ↑,
    • 84', Fernandez Jaen R. ↓, Garcia K. ↑,
    • 84', Exposito ↓, Terrats R. ↑,
    • 90+1', Gonzalez U. ↓, Pickel C. ↑,
    • 90+2', 2 - 0, Garcia K. ⚽, Terrats R. (A),

    Preview

  • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 9).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Espanyol won 1.
  • Espanyol is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
  • Athletic has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • Athletic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
  • There will not play in Espanyol: Calero F. (Yellow Cards) Dolan T. (Yellow Cards) Puado J. (Knee Injury)
  • There will not play in Athletic: Sancet O. (Muscle Injury) Williams N. (Injury)
  • There are questionable in Espanyol: Ngonge C. (Knee Injury) Romero C. (Injury)
  • There are questionable in Athletic: Laporte A. (Injury) Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury)
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Espanyol won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:25. (average 0.9:1.3).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Espanyol won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).

    • Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now
    Ath Bilbao: 0.47% Espanyol: 0.3%

    Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    10Ath Bilbao62227:618
    15Espanyol721410:1007

    Last Results with these Odds

    Espanyol - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 32.21%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

    Athletic Bilbao - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 39.26%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - RCD Espanyol
    Spanish LaLiga
    09.05.26 Sevilla - Espanyol 2:1 ✺
    03.05.26 Espanyol - Real Madrid 0:2 ✺
    27.04.26 Espanyol - Levante 0:0 ✺
    23.04.26 Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol 1:0 ✺
    11.04.26 Barcelona - Espanyol 4:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0
    LLTLL
    - Athletic Bilbao
    Spanish LaLiga
    10.05.26 Athletic Bilbao - Valencia 0:1 ✺
    02.05.26 Deportivo Alavés - Athletic Bilbao 2:4 ✺
    25.04.26 Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao 3:2 ✺
    21.04.26 Athletic Bilbao - Osasuna 1:0 ✺
    12.04.26 Athletic Bilbao - Villarreal 1:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8
    LWLWL
    Latest Head to Head
    Spanish LaLiga
    22.12.25 Athletic Bilbao - Espanyol 1:2
    16.02.25 Espanyol - Athletic Bilbao 1:1
    19.10.24 Athletic Bilbao - Espanyol 4:1
    08.04.23 Espanyol - Athletic Bilbao 1:2
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    18.01.23 Athletic Bilbao - Espanyol 1:0
    Spanish LaLiga
    04.09.22 Athletic Bilbao - Espanyol 0:1
    07.02.22 Athletic Bilbao - Espanyol 2:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - RCD Espanyol
    Spanish LaLiga
    09.10.26 Málaga - Espanyol ✺
    - Athletic Bilbao
    Spanish LaLiga
    10.10.26 Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao ✺

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