Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Breese Stevens Field (Madison, WI)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Forward Madison		Detroit City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.4	3.7	1.55
	5.69	3.85	1.57
	4.5	3.68	1.69
	5	3.4	1.53
	5.63	3.7	1.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.24 ↑ (4)	3.67 ↑ (3.58)	1.57 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forward Madison
17.4%

Draw
24.8%

Detroit City
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

25.4%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

24.5%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forward Madison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Forward Madison's form might have worsened.

Detroit City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Detroit City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Forward Madison, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Detroit City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Forward Madison - Detroit City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Harms J. (G) 23. Munjoma E. 13. Humphrey T. 20. Carmichael K. 4. McCamy C. 6. Kanyane G. 16. Castro J. 12. Torres R. 17. Gebhard D. (C) 9. Carmichael R. 14. Gyamfi S.	1. Herrera C. (G) 14. Yamazaki H. 30. Amoo-Mensah D. (C) 4. Montgomery C. 33. Silva T. 6. Williams R. 22. Hernandez-Foster K. 9. Morris B. 21. Rodriguez M. 32. Diouf A. 7. Smith D.
Substitutes
7. Bolma J. 99. Flores K. (G) 30. Machacen E. 19. Manske T. (G) 11. Ngoubou C. 18. Romanshyn K. 5. Shannon J. 33. Toure K.	15. Dalou A. 8. Diop A. 20. Hope-Gund R. 11. Rutz C. 91. Saldana C. (G) 3. Stanley A. 2. Williams R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Torres R. 🟨,
18', Munjoma E. 🟨,
37', Humphrey T. ↓, Shannon J. ↑,
42', Silva T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Morris B. ↓, Diop A. ↑,
48', Yamazaki H. 🟨,
57', Diop A. 🟨,
61', Silva T. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
61', Hernandez-Foster K. ↓, Stanley A. ↑,
62', Gebhard D. ↓, Ngoubou C. ↑,
62', Castro J. ↓, Machacen E. ↑,
69', Kanyane G. 🟨,
70', Gyamfi S. 🟨,
73', Diouf A. ↓, Dalou A. ↑,
76', Torres R. ↓, Romanshyn K. ↑,
76', Carmichael R. ↓, Bolma J. ↑,
77', Machacen E. 🟥,
88', 0 - 1, Yamazaki H. ⚽, Amoo-Mensah D. (A),
90+2', Rodriguez M. ↓, Rutz C. ↑,

Preview

Forward Madison is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Detroit City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Forward Madison has had a series of away games.

In this match, Detroit City is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forward Madison
USL League One
09.05.26	AV Alta - Forward Madison	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Sarasota Paradise - Forward Madison	1:3 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Lexington - Forward Madison	4:2 ✺
USL League One
19.04.26	New York Cosmos - Forward Madison	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Union Omaha - Forward Madison	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLTL
- Detroit City FC
USL Championship
09.05.26	Hartford Athletic - Detroit City	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Detroit City - Louisville City	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Detroit City	2:1 ✺
US Open Cup
14.04.26	Detroit City - Chicago Fire	1:2 ✺
USL Championship
11.04.26	Detroit City - Sporting Jacksonville	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLLW

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