Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Keyworth Stadium (Hamtramck, MI)

Referee: Verso M. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Detroit City		North Carolina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.25
	1.75	3.45	4.25
	1.8	3.62	4.49
	2.06	2.79	4.41	Watch
	1.78	3.66	4.27	Watch
	2.04	3.2	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.07)	3.3 ↓ (3.4)	4 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Detroit City
48.6%

Draw
28.2%

North Carolina
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

27.2%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

27.3%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Detroit City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Detroit City - North Carolina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Herrera C. (G) 4. Wiedt S. 5. Carroll S. . 30. Amoo-Mensah D. 33. LeFlore I. 39. Williams R. 22. Hernandez-Foster K. 3. Villanueva A. 10. Cedeno J. 7. Smith D. 32. Diouf A.	22. Semmle O. (G) 19. Al Qaq A. 66. Sundstrom F. 20. Donovan C. 5. Craig P. 10. Servania J. 8. Pedro Becker 15. Maldonado M. 44. Sommersall R. 13. Perez L. 16. Da Costa R.
Substitutes
99. Adebayo-Smith J. 12. Bryant M. 6. Chapman J. 23. Guenzatti S. 91. Saldana C. (G) 13. Sheldon M. 14. Yamazaki H.	11. Burner P. 7. Conway E. 23. Forbes J. 55. Hodge T. 1. McGuire J. (G) 71. Quintanilla J. 6. Roberts T. 27. Washington B.
Coaches
Dichio D.	Bradford J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Da Costa R. 🟨,
25', Servania J. ↓, Forbes J. ↑,
44', 1 - 0, Cedeno J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', LeFlore I. ↓, Yamazaki H. ↑,
49', Wiedt S. 🟨,
66', Wiedt S. ↓, Bryant M. ↑,
66', Hernandez-Foster K. ↓, Chapman J. ↑,
75', 2 - 0, Amoo-Mensah D. ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Detroit City has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, North Carolina has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

North Carolina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Detroit City has had a series of home games.

Detroit City might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Detroit City won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Detroit City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Detroit City FC
USL Championship
27.09.25	Detroit City - Louisville City	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Detroit City - Lexington	0:1 ✺
10.09.25	New Mexico United - Detroit City	4:0 ✺
06.09.25	Detroit City - Orange County SC	4:1 ✺
30.08.25	Detroit City - San Antonio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWT
- North Carolina FC
USL Championship
01.10.25	Birmingham Legion - North Carolina	1:1 ✺
26.09.25	North Carolina - Miami	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Tampa Bay Rowdies - North Carolina	2:2 ✺
12.09.25	North Carolina - El Paso Locomotive	1:0 ✺
05.09.25	Lexington - North Carolina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
15.08.25	North Carolina - Detroit City	1:1
19.07.24	North Carolina - Detroit City	1:1
06.04.24	Detroit City - North Carolina	1:0

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