Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 10 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park (Albuquerque, NM)

Referee: Encarnación J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, KASY TV, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN


	New Mexico United		Detroit City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.2	2.8
	2.25	3.2	2.98
	2.31	3.38	3.11
	1.54	4.06	5.74	Watch
	2.34	3.16	3.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.21)	3.4 ↑ (3.37)	3.54 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New Mexico United
44.9%

Draw
28.1%

Detroit City
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

27.5%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

27.1%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New Mexico United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Detroit City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (+4%)

New Mexico United - Detroit City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tambakis A. (G) 16. Seymore W. 4. Keller K. 22. Ryden K. (C) 3. Gloster C. 7. Rivas S. 14. Moguel C. 5. Harris D. 19. Bailey Z. 21. Noel V. 17. Hurst G.	21. Herrera C. (G) 12. Bryant M. 5. Carroll S. . (C) 30. Amoo-Mensah D. 13. Sheldon M. 22. Hernandez-Foster K. 8. Diop A. 33. LeFlore I. 6. Chapman J. 10. Cedeno J. 99. Adebayo-Smith J.
Substitutes
11. Akale M. 29. Archimede L. 15. Jabang O. 24. Lindsey J. 12. Maples T. 13. Shakes K. (G) 8. Vargas M.	23. Guenzatti S. 91. Saldana C. (G) 3. Villanueva A. 4. Wiedt S. 39. Williams R. 14. Yamazaki H.
Coaches
Sanchez D.	Dichio D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Bailey Z. ⚽, Seymore W. (A),
20', 2 - 0, Gloster C. ⚽,
21', Tambakis A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Diop A. ↓, Yamazaki H. ↑,
46', Chapman J. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
54', Williams R. 🟨,
58', Gloster C. ↓, Lindsey J. ↑,
60', Rivas S. ↓, Jabang O. ↑,
60', Moguel C. ↓, Vargas M. ↑,
60', Keller K. ↓, Maples T. ↑,
63', Sheldon M. ↓, Villanueva A. ↑,
63', LeFlore I. ↓, Guenzatti S. ↑,
66', Ryden K. ↓, Archimede L. ↑,
69', 3 - 0, Hurst G. ⚽, Harris D. (A),
74', Harris D. 🟨,
74', Vargas M. 🟨,
79', Carroll S. . ↓, Wiedt S. ↑,
90+1', Bryant M. 🟨,
90+7', 4 - 0, Noel V. ⚽, Jabang O. (A),

Preview

Recent performances by New Mexico have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Detroit City is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Detroit City has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, New Mexico won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New Mexico United
USL Championship
06.09.25	San Antonio - New Mexico United	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	New Mexico United - Sacramento Republic	0:2 ✺
23.08.25	Louisville City - New Mexico United	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	New Mexico United - Las Vegas Lights	2:2 ✺
09.08.25	Tulsa - New Mexico United	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLTTL
- Detroit City FC
USL Championship
06.09.25	Detroit City - Orange County SC	4:1 ✺
30.08.25	Detroit City - San Antonio	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Detroit City - Tampa Bay Rowdies	2:0 ✺
15.08.25	North Carolina - Detroit City	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Detroit City - Indy Eleven	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
14.09.24	Detroit City - New Mexico United	1:0
08.07.23	New Mexico United - Detroit City	1:0
23.07.22	Detroit City - New Mexico United	2:2

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