Match Info

Date: 16 April 2022, Saturday


	Dijon		Ajaccio

	1	X	2
	3.5	3	2.1	Watch
	3.6	2.87	2.2
	3.5	2.95	2.23
	3.7	2.85	2.12
	3.77	3.03	2.28
	3.4	2.75	2.35	Watch
	3.62	3.04	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (2.32)	2.93 ↓ (3.18)	2.22 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dijon
26%

Draw
31.9%

Ajaccio
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

29.7%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

29.7%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dijon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dijon's form might have worsened.

Ajaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ajaccio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dijon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ajaccio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dijon - Ajaccio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Dijon has the most likely position - 7 (15.25%), has project points - 51, has currently - 42, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Ajaccio has the most likely position - 2 (48.91%), has project points - 70, has currently - 61, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of promoted (53%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 34, importance 50, match rating 42. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dijon won 0.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Ajaccio will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Dijon won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Dijon won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dijon FC
French Ligue 2
11.04.22	Paris FC - Dijon	2:2 ✺
02.04.22	Dijon - Grenoble	1:0 ✺
19.03.22	Amiens - Dijon	1:1 ✺
15.03.22	Dijon - Le Havre	2:0 ✺
12.03.22	Valenciennes - Dijon	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWTWT
- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 2
09.04.22	Ajaccio - Pau	2:1 ✺
04.04.22	Nancy - Ajaccio	0:2 ✺
19.03.22	Ajaccio - Nîmes	1:0 ✺
15.03.22	Quevilly - Ajaccio	0:0 ✺
12.03.22	Ajaccio - Bastia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
06.11.21	Ajaccio - Dijon	1:0
13.05.16	Dijon - Ajaccio	2:0
31.07.15	Ajaccio - Dijon	0:0
10.04.15	Ajaccio - Dijon	1:0
31.10.14	Dijon - Ajaccio	3:0
French Ligue 1
25.02.12	Ajaccio - Dijon	2:1

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