Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 10 December 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stadion Maksimir (Zagreb)

Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Fox Sports
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 4
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5
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Brazil	Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, Space, Space, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN Premium
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	Canal+ Live 2
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
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Hungary	RTL+, Sport 2
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India	Sony LIV
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Poland	Canal+ Extra 3
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
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Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 3
Sweden	Viaplay
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Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, Virgin TV Go app


	Dinamo Zagreb		Celtic

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.7	1.9
	3.9	3.6	1.9
	3.9	3.75	1.95
	4.05	3.8	1.92
	4.03	3.78	1.91	Watch
	4	3.7	1.91
	4.02	3.88	1.95
	3.9	3.75	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↑ (2.83)	3.75 ↑ (3.52)	1.92 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Zagreb
24.3%

Draw
25.7%

Celtic
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

27.2%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

27.8%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dinamo Zagreb's form might have worsened.

Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Celtic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dinamo Zagreb, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Celtic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.7%	14.5%	75.8%

Dinamo Zagreb - Celtic Predictions

Users Predictions: 61 users predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 5 - 8.2%). Celtic will win (votes: 47 - 77%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celtic: 66.4% – 87.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zagorac D. (G) 77. Spikic D. 22. Ristovski S. (C) 6. Bernauer M. 28. Theophile-Catherine K. 18. Pierre-Gabriel R. 8. Kacavenda L. 30. Rog M. 10. Baturina M. 17. Kulenovic S. 20. Pjaca M.	1. Schmeichel K. (G) 2. Johnston A. 20. Carter-Vickers C. 6. Trusty A. 3. Taylor G. 28. Bernardo P. 42. McGregor C. (C) 41. Hatate R. 10. Kuhn N. 8. Furuhashi K. 38. Maeda D.
Substitutes
37. Bakovic T. 19. Cordoba J. 49. Cutuk M. 23. Filipovic I. (G) 11. Hoxha A. 86. Jakirovic L. 21. Mbuku N. 33. Nevistic I. (G) 66. Pavic B. 7. Stojkovic L. 4. Torrente R. 42. Zebic M.	27. Engels A. 49. Forrest J. 9. Idah A. 14. McCowan L. 17. Nawrocki M. 7. Palma L. 56. Ralston A. 5. Scales L. 12. Sinisalo V. (G) 11. Valle A. 57. Welsh S. 13. Yang Hyun-Jun
Coaches
Bjelica N.	Rodgers B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Taylor G. 🟨,
35', Rog M. 🟨,
35', Kulenovic S. 🟨,
38', Maeda D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Johnston A. ↓, Ralston A. ↑,
56', Ralston A. 🟨,
65', Bernardo P. ↓, Engels A. ↑,
65', Hatate R. ↓, McCowan L. ↑,
72', Furuhashi K. ↓, Idah A. ↑,
72', Maeda D. ↓, Forrest J. ↑,
73', Spikic D. ↓, Mbuku N. ↑,
82', Baturina M. ↓, Stojkovic L. ↑,
82', Pjaca M. ↓, Hoxha A. ↑,

Preview

Dinamo Zagreb is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Celtic is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Celtic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Celtic will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Ogiwara T. (Ankle Injury) Sucic P. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Celtic: Holm O. T. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Dinamo Zagreb: Petkovic B. (Muscle Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Dinamo Zagreb won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 2:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Dinamo Zagreb won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL
06.12.24	Dinamo Zagreb - Slaven Belupo	1:1 ✺
01.12.24	Hajduk Split - Dinamo Zagreb	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.11.24	Dinamo Zagreb - Borussia Dortmund	0:3 ✺
Croatian HNL
23.11.24	Dinamo Zagreb - Rijeka	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Gorica - Dinamo Zagreb	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLTT
- Celtic
Scottish Premier League
07.12.24	Celtic - Hibernian	3:0 ✺
04.12.24	Aberdeen - Celtic	0:1 ✺
30.11.24	Celtic - Ross County	5:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.11.24	Celtic - Club Brugge	1:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
23.11.24	Hearts - Celtic	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
11.12.14	Dinamo Zagreb - Celtic	4:3
02.10.14	Celtic - Dinamo Zagreb	1:0

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