Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 27 November 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Maksimir (Zagreb) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport Variety 1
Argentina	17:00	ESPN 2
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 8, Pickx+ Sports 8, Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 3, Moja TV
Brazil	17:00	Max
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
China	04:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	15:00	ESPN 5
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, HRT 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	21:00	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 6
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 5
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	21:00	RTL+, Sport 1
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
India	01:30	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, Sky Sport 254
Kosovo	21:00	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 3
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	14:00	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Montenegro	21:00	Arena Sport 4
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Peru	15:00	Fox Sports 2
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 3
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 5
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Voyo
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	SportKlub 1
South America	—	ESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 5, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 6
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 7
Usa	15:00	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Inter
Vietnam	03:00	TV 360
International	20:00	Disney+, JioTV app


	Dinamo Zagreb		Borussia Dortmund

	1	X	2
	5.25	4	1.62
	5	4	1.65
	5.3	4.15	1.65	Watch
	5.4	4.18	1.67
	5.3	4.17	1.65	Watch
	5.5	4	1.65
	5.17	4.25	1.69
	5.3	4.15	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.28 ↑ (4.29)	4.11 ↑ (4.07)	1.65 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: CBSSN

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Zagreb
18.3%

Draw
23.4%

Borussia Dortmund
58.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.2%

23.4%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

23.5%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.2%	8.5%	87.3%

Dinamo Zagreb - Borussia Dortmund Predictions

Users Predictions: Borussia Dortmund will win (61 of 70 users predict this - 87.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.3% – 94.98%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zagorac D. (G) 22. Ristovski S. (C) 28. Theophile-Catherine K. 4. Torrente R. 18. Pierre-Gabriel R. 6. Bernauer M. 30. Rog M. 10. Baturina M. 66. Pavic B. 7. Stojkovic L. 8. Kacavenda L.	1. Kobel G. (G) 13. Gross P. 4. Schlotterbeck N. 3. Anton W. 5. Bensebaini R. 20. Sabitzer M. 8. Nmecha F. 10. Brandt J. (C) 43. Gittens J. 14. Beier M. 21. Malen D.
Substitutes
23. Filipovic I. (G) 11. Hoxha A. 17. Kulenovic S. 21. Mbuku N. 3. Ogiwara T. 20. Pjaca M. 77. Spikic D.	37. Campbell C. 23. Can E. 2. Couto Y. 16. Duranville J. 9. Guirassy S. 42. Kabar A. 35. Lotka M. (G) 33. Meyer A. (G) 7. Reyna G. 26. Ryerson J.
Coaches
Bjelica N.	Sahin N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Torrente R. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Gittens J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Brandt J. ↓, Ryerson J. ↑,
56', 0 - 2, Bensebaini R. ⚽, Gross P. (A),
60', Baturina M. 🟨,
60', Bensebaini R. 🟨,
61', Beier M. ↓, Guirassy S. ↑,
61', Sabitzer M. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
61', Gittens J. ↓, Duranville J. ↑,
62', Stojkovic L. ↓, Pjaca M. ↑,
62', Baturina M. ↓, Kulenovic S. ↑,
66', Kulenovic S. 🟨,
73', Pavic B. ↓, Hoxha A. ↑,
73', Kacavenda L. ↓, Spikic D. ↑,
74', Malen D. ↓, Couto Y. ↑,
90', 0 - 3, Guirassy S. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Borussia D is a favorite.

There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Nevistic I. (Back Injury) Sucic P. (Injury)

There will not play in Borussia D: Adeyemi K. (Thigh Injury) Mane F. (Calf Injury) Sule N. (Ankle Injury) Watjen K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Dinamo Zagreb: Ademi A. (Thigh Injury) Misic J. (Calf Injury) Petkovic B. (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL
23.11.24	Dinamo Zagreb - Rijeka	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Gorica - Dinamo Zagreb	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.11.24	Slovan Bratislava - Dinamo Zagreb	1:4 ✺
Croatian HNL
01.11.24	Šibenik - Dinamo Zagreb	0:4 ✺
27.10.24	Dinamo Zagreb - Osijek	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TTWWL
- Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga
23.11.24	Borussia Dortmund - Freiburg	4:0 ✺
09.11.24	Mainz - Borussia Dortmund	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.11.24	Borussia Dortmund - Sturm Graz	1:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
02.11.24	Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.24	Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund	1:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWL

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