Match Info

Date: 6 September 2022, Tuesday

Location: Stadion Maksimir (Zagreb)

Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	Sport 1
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub
Turkey	TV8 Turkey
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Dinamo Zagreb		Chelsea

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.5	1.45
	6.75	4.4	1.47
	7	4.75	1.49
	6.6	4.4	1.48
	7.09	4.66	1.49
	6.5	4.33	1.47
	6.9	4.55	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.76 ↑ (6.71)	4.51 ↓ (4.58)	1.48 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Network on TV: UNIMAS (KDJT - Monterey-Salinas, CA)

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Zagreb
14.1%

Draw
21.2%

Chelsea
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.1%

20.7%

65.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.6%

21.5%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Dinamo Zagreb have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	9.1%	80.4%

Dinamo Zagreb - Chelsea Predictions

Users Predictions: Chelsea will win (115 of 143 users predict this - 80.42%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 86.92%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Dinamo Zagreb has currently - 0, has a very small chance of 1st (3%), has a small chance of 2nd (9%), has a chance of 3rd (21%), has a small chance of round of 16 (13%), has a very small chance of qtrs (3%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Chelsea has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (38%), has a chance of 2nd (30%), has a chance of 3rd (23%), has a good chance of round of 16 (68%), has a chance of qtrs (34%), has a small chance of semis (14%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

This event has big quality 71, importance 57, match rating 64. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Dinamo Zagreb is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Chelsea is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dinamo Zagreb could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Chelsea is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Dilaver E. (Injury) Menalo L. (Injury) Sutalo B. (Injury)

There will not play in Chelsea: Kante N. (Thigh Injury) Kovacic M. (Coach's decision) Silva T. (Rest)

There are questionable in Chelsea: Aubameyang P. (Face Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL
02.09.22	Dinamo Zagreb - Rijeka	3:1 ✺
28.08.22	Šibenik - Dinamo Zagreb	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
24.08.22	Dinamo Zagreb - Bodø Glimt	4:1 ET ✺
Croatian HNL
20.08.22	Dinamo Zagreb - Osijek	5:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
16.08.22	Bodø Glimt - Dinamo Zagreb	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWL
- Chelsea
English Premier League
03.09.22	Chelsea - West Ham United	2:1 ✺
30.08.22	Southampton - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
27.08.22	Chelsea - Leicester City	2:1 ✺
21.08.22	Leeds United - Chelsea	3:0 ✺
14.08.22	Chelsea - Tottenham Hotspur	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLT

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