Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 28

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Spartak (Mogilev)


	Dnyapro Mogilev		Lokomotiv Gomel

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.06)	3.5 ↑ (3.3)	3.3 ↑ (3.2)

The best margin for this event is 12.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dnyapro Mogilev
47.9%

Draw
25.3%

Lokomotiv Gomel
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

27.5%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

27.7%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dnyapro Mogilev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Lokomotiv Gomel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dnyapro Mogilev than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Gomel than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Shapko D. (G) 31. Aldanov G. 9. Arkhipov A. 20. Bordukov P. (C) 23. Dunaev A. 11. Fedosov V. 91. Miroevskiy A. 34. Petrenko A. 21. Vershinin G. 71. Zhabrakov D. 77. Zheleznikov G.	31. Prishivalko P. (G) 77. Drozdovich A. 5. Kovsh K. 99. Kozlov I. 97. Muzychenko Y. (C) 17. Myzgin V. 15. Petrusevich A. 8. Puzach A. 22. Shevchenko P. 7. Smaltser A. 9. Sychev V.
Substitutes
5. Elagin K. 93. Glushakov D. 10. Gurbanov M. 29. Kabyshev A. 13. Lastochkin A. 1. Sednev N. (G) 89. Sedzich P. 66. Tarasenko V. 8. Usanov A. 35. Veydyger K. (G)	30. Davidovich A. 93. Isachenko E. (G) 24. Katsynel M. 55. Lazarchik S. 2. Nizhnik D. 25. Tikhomirov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Vysshaya Liga and 6).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Lokomotiv Gomel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Lokomotiv Gomel has had a series of home games.

Dnyapro might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dnyapro won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Dnyapro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dnyapro Mogilev
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
27.09.25	Dnyapro Mogilev - Minsk 2	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Ostrovets - Dnyapro Mogilev	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Dnyapro Mogilev - Volna Pinsk	3:1 ✺
30.08.25	Dnyapro Mogilev - Baranovichi	0:3 ✺
22.08.25	Belarus U19 - Dnyapro Mogilev	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWLW
- Lokomotiv Gomel
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
04.10.25	Lokomotiv Gomel - BumProm Gomel	3:0 ✺
21.09.25	Lokomotiv Gomel - Belshina	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Slonim - Lokomotiv Gomel	2:1 ✺
05.09.25	Lokomotiv Gomel - Orsha	4:0 ✺
30.08.25	Lokomotiv Gomel - Lida	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
07.10.23	Lokomotiv Gomel - Dnyapro Mogilev	0:3
21.11.21	Dnyapro Mogilev - Lokomotiv Gomel	0:1
05.09.21	Lokomotiv Gomel - Dnyapro Mogilev	1:1
18.06.21	Dnyapro Mogilev - Lokomotiv Gomel	4:0
Belarusian Cup
28.07.18	Lokomotiv Gomel - Dnyapro Mogilev	3:2

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