The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Doncaster Rovers 23.4%
Draw 27.3%
Charlton Athletic 49.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.9%
28.9%
44.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.3%
28.5%
43.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Doncaster Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Charlton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Charlton Athletic's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Charlton Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Doncaster Rovers - Charlton Athletic Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 15).
Doncaster has the most likely position - 23 (46.27%), has project points - 36, has currently - 30, has a good chance of relegated (95%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.
Charlton has the most likely position - 13 (19.55%), has project points - 57, has currently - 46, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
This event has small quality10, small importance11, small match rating11. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Doncaster won 2.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Doncaster could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Charlton is a favorite.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Doncaster won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14-18.
Including matches at home between the teams Doncaster won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.