Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 11

Date: 3 October 2023, Tuesday

Location: Eco-Power Stadium (Doncaster)

Referee: Woods M. (Eng)


	Doncaster Rovers		Crawley Town

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.6	2.7
	2.5	3.5	2.6
	2.55	3.4	2.7	Watch
	2.48	3.71	2.78
	2.45	3.5	2.62
	2.45	3.58	2.67	Watch
	2.42	3.5	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.32)	3.54 ↑ (3.3)	2.67 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Doncaster Rovers
38.1%

Draw
26.6%

Crawley Town
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

27.8%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

28.2%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Doncaster Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	10%	40%

Doncaster Rovers - Crawley Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Doncaster will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Crawley will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Doncaster: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jones L. (G) 16. Nixon T. 5. Olowu J. 4. Anderson T. (C) 17. Bailey O. 7. Molyneux L. 33. Close B. 24. Westbrooke Z. 10. Rowe T. 20. Ironside J. 36. Faal M.	1. Addai C. (G) 23. Johnson T. 26. Williams J. 30. Wright W. 14. Forster H. 10. Darcy R. 4. Kelly L. (C) 6. Maguire L. 28. Campbell A. 8. Lolos K. 25. Tsaroulla N.
Substitutes
8. Broadbent G. 28. Faulkner B. 35. Goodman J. 1. Lawlor I. (G) 34. Marsh L. 22. Roberts T. A. 18. Sotona D.	13. Ashby-Hammond L. (G) 2. Gordon K. 12. Henry A. 27. Khaleel R. 16. Omole T. 11. Roles J. 24. Swyer K.
Coaches
McCann G.	Lindsey S.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Doncaster won 2.

Recent matches Doncaster is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Crawley in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Crawley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Crawley have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Doncaster won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Doncaster won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Doncaster Rovers
English League Two
30.09.23	Barrow - Doncaster Rovers	3:2 ✺
23.09.23	Doncaster Rovers - Gillingham	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
19.09.23	Doncaster Rovers - Everton U21	2:0 ✺
English League Two
16.09.23	Forest Green Rovers - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 ✺
09.09.23	Wrexham - Doncaster Rovers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWWWL
- Crawley Town
English League Two
30.09.23	Crawley Town - Sutton United	3:0 ✺
23.09.23	Grimsby Town - Crawley Town	2:3 ✺
16.09.23	Crawley Town - Tranmere Rovers	3:2 ✺
09.09.23	Crawley Town - Newport County	4:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.09.23	Crawley Town - Charlton Athletic	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
21.03.23	Crawley Town - Doncaster Rovers	1:1
24.09.22	Doncaster Rovers - Crawley Town	4:1
04.03.17	Crawley Town - Doncaster Rovers	0:0
13.08.16	Doncaster Rovers - Crawley Town	1:1
English League One
10.02.15	Crawley Town - Doncaster Rovers	0:5
16.09.14	Doncaster Rovers - Crawley Town	0:0
18.02.13	Crawley Town - Doncaster Rovers	1:1

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