Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 8

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday

Location: The New Lawn (Nailsworth)

Referee: Miles J. (Eng)


	Forest Green Rovers		Doncaster Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3.2
	2.2	3.4	3.2	Watch
	2.25	3.56	3.26
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.21	3.44	3.18	Watch
	2.22	3.35	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.01)	3.38 ↓ (3.51)	3.16 ↓ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forest Green Rovers
42.5%

Draw
27.8%

Doncaster Rovers
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

26.9%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

27.2%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Forest Green Rovers - Doncaster Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Forest Green will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Doncaster will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Doncaster: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Daniels L. (G) 25. Dabo F. 5. Inniss R. 15. Taylor-Moore J. (C) 17. Robson J. 7. McAllister K. 6. Jenks T. 8. McCann C. 29. Brown R. 14. Deeney T. 9. Stevens M.	12. Jones L. (G) 7. Molyneux L. 17. Bailey O. 5. Olowu J. 4. Anderson T. (C) 16. Nixon T. 8. Broadbent G. 14. Biggins H. 24. Westbrooke Z. 20. Ironside J. 36. Faal M.
Substitutes
3. Bernard D. 27. Bunker H. 2. Lavinier M. 23. Omotoye T. 20. Searle J. (G) 10. Taylor M. 22. Welch R.	33. Close B. 28. Faulkner B. 35. Goodman J. 32. King T. 34. Marsh L. 22. Roberts T. A. 18. Sotona D.
Coaches
Horseman D.	McCann G.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).

Recent matches Forest Green is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Doncaster has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Doncaster could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Forest Green will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forest Green Rovers
English League Two
09.09.23	Forest Green Rovers - Crewe Alexandra	1:4 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.09.23	Forest Green Rovers - Shrewsbury Town	3:0 ✺
English League Two
02.09.23	Sutton United - Forest Green Rovers	0:1 ✺
26.08.23	AFC Wimbledon - Forest Green Rovers	1:1 ✺
19.08.23	Forest Green Rovers - Newport County	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWWTL
- Doncaster Rovers
English League Two
09.09.23	Wrexham - Doncaster Rovers	2:1 ✺
02.09.23	Doncaster Rovers - Swindon Town	0:0 ✺
English League Cup
30.08.23	Doncaster Rovers - Everton	1:2 ✺
English League Two
26.08.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Doncaster Rovers	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Doncaster Rovers - Notts County	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL

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