Match Info

League One - Round 29

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Eco-Power Stadium (Doncaster)

Referee: Woods M. (Eng)

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	Doncaster Rovers		Leyton Orient

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.6	3.5	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.3
	1.92	3.7	3.55	Watch
	2.02	3.8	3.66
	2.01	3.6	3.45	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.4
	1.96	3.62	3.52	Watch
	1.93	3.66	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.15)	3.61 ↑ (3.25)	3.51 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Doncaster Rovers
47.5%

Draw
25.9%

Leyton Orient
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

28.2%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

27.1%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

Doncaster Rovers - Leyton Orient Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Doncaster will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Doncaster: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Doncaster (votes: 2 - 25%). Leyton Orient (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.5 - Leyton Orient (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Doncaster (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Doncaster (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Leyton Orient (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Clark Z. (G) 2. Sterry J. 12. Byrne N. 6. McGrath J. 23. Senior J. 22. Gotts R. 7. Molyneux L. 4. Bailey O. (C) 15. Clifton H. 47. Adelakun H. 19. Okoronkwo F.	33. Cahill K. (G) 16. Casey K. 5. Happe D. 4. Simpson J. 11. Mitchell D. 22. Abdulai A. 21. Moorhouse J. 44. Archibald T. (C) 7. O'Neill O. 9. Matthews A. 32. Ballard D.
Substitutes
8. Broadbent G. 11. Gibson J. 29. Lo-Tutala T. (G) 17. Middleton G. 16. Nixon T. 20. Robinson D. 14. Sharp B.	15. Bakinson T. 14. Craig M. 2. James T. 17. Koroma J. 20. Perkins S. 26. Phillips N. (G) 25. Wellens C.
Coaches
McCann G.	Wellens R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Bailey O. ⚽, Adelakun H. (A),
38', Sterry J. 🟨,
45', Casey K. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, Molyneux L. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Happe D. ↓, Craig M. ↑,
46', Matthews A. ↓, James T. ↑,
46', Mitchell D. ↓, Wellens C. ↑,
46', Moorhouse J. ↓, Bakinson T. ↑,
49', 3 - 0, Bailey O. ⚽,
51', O'Neill O. 🟨,
70', Okoronkwo F. ↓, Sharp B. ↑,
74', Ballard D. ↓, Koroma J. ↑,
79', Sharp B. 🟨,
85', Adelakun H. ↓, Middleton G. ↑,
90+1', Wellens C. 🟨,
90+2', Clifton H. ↓, Broadbent G. ↑,
90+2', Sterry J. ↓, Nixon T. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Doncaster won 2.

Recent performances by Doncaster have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Leyton Orient is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Leyton Orient may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Doncaster has had a series of home games.

Doncaster is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Doncaster: Close B. (Inactive)

There will not play in Leyton Orient: Connolly A. (Injury) Edmonds-Green R. (Inactive) El Mizouni I. (Injury) Graham J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Clare S. (Inactive) Forrester W. (Inactive)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Doncaster won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Doncaster won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Outrights of English League One for now

Doncaster: 1.24% Leyton Orient: 0.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Leyton Orient	9	3	2	4	13:11	2	11
16	Doncaster	8	2	3	3	9:9	0	9

Last Results with these Odds

Leyton Orient - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 29.12%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Doncaster Rovers
English League One
24.01.26	Doncaster Rovers - Wigan Athletic	3:3 ✺
17.01.26	AFC Wimbledon - Doncaster Rovers	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
13.01.26	Doncaster Rovers - Fleetwood Town	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Doncaster Rovers - Southampton	2:3 ✺
English League One
01.01.26	Doncaster Rovers - Bolton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWWLT
- Leyton Orient
English League One
24.01.26	Bolton Wanderers - Leyton Orient	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Leyton Orient - Reading	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Leyton Orient - Cardiff City	1:1 ✺
01.01.26	Leyton Orient - AFC Wimbledon	1:3 ✺
29.12.25	Luton Town - Leyton Orient	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
11.10.25	Leyton Orient - Doncaster Rovers	4:0
English League Two
07.01.23	Leyton Orient - Doncaster Rovers	1:0
08.10.22	Doncaster Rovers - Leyton Orient	1:1
18.03.17	Leyton Orient - Doncaster Rovers	1:4
26.11.16	Doncaster Rovers - Leyton Orient	3:1
English League One
14.04.15	Leyton Orient - Doncaster Rovers	0:1
21.10.14	Doncaster Rovers - Leyton Orient	0:2

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