Match Info

FA Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Eco-Power Stadium (Doncaster)

Referee: Busby J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Doncaster Rovers		Southampton

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	1.96
	3.45	3.7	2.02
	3.42	3.81	2.01	Watch
	3.3	3.3	2
	3.91	3.61	2.01	Watch
	3.4	3.66	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↓ (4.05)	3.6 ↓ (3.81)	2 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Doncaster Rovers
26.8%

Draw
26.2%

Southampton
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

24.5%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

21.6%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Southampton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	20%	66.7%

Doncaster Rovers - Southampton Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Doncaster will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). S`hampton will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Doncaster (votes: 1 - 33.3%). S`hampton (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Lo-Tutala T. (G) 2. Sterry J. 5. Pearson M. 6. McGrath J. 23. Senior J. 4. Bailey O. (C) 7. Molyneux L. 22. Gotts R. 11. Gibson J. 47. Adelakun H. 19. Okoronkwo F.	41. Peretz D. (G) 18. Fellows T. 6. Harwood-Bellis T. (C) 17. Quarshie J. 38. Jelert E. 48. Bragg C. 4. Downes F. 34. Welington 27. Matsuki K. 46. Robinson J. 19. Archer C.
Substitutes
41. Bryant J. (G) 15. Clifton H. 27. Grehan S. 9. Hanlan B. 3. Maxwell J. 17. Middleton G. 16. Nixon T. 26. Robinson D. 14. Sharp B.	10. Akachukwu R. 9. Armstrong A. 20. Jander C. 1. McCarthy A. (G) 13. Scienza L. 5. Stephens J. 11. Stewart R. 53. Williams B. 15. Wood N.
Coaches
McCann G.	Eckert T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
8', 0 - 1, Bragg C. ⚽,
24', 0 - 2, Archer C. ⚽, Downes F. (A),
36', McGrath J. 🟨,
36', Matsuki K. 🟨,
41', 0 - 3, Matsuki K. ⚽, Fellows T. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 1 - 3, Pearson M. ⚽, Gotts R. (A),
54', McGrath J. ↓, Maxwell J. ↑,
59', 2 - 3, Gibson J. ⚽, Bailey O. (A),
62', Jelert E. ↓, Wood N. ↑,
62', Robinson J. ↓, Scienza L. ↑,
67', Pearson M. 🟨,
74', Archer C. ↓, Stewart R. ↑,
74', Bragg C. ↓, Jander C. ↑,
76', Gibson J. ↓, Sharp B. ↑,
76', Adelakun H. ↓, Middleton G. ↑,
78', Gotts R. 🟨,
84', Downes F. 🟨,
84', Senior J. ↓, Robinson D. ↑,
85', Gotts R. ↓, Hanlan B. ↑,
87', Matsuki K. ↓, Armstrong A. ↑,

Preview

Doncaster has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

S`hampton is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

S`hampton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, S`hampton is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Doncaster won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.

Outrights of English FA Cup for now

Southampton: 0.51%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Doncaster Rovers
English League One
01.01.26	Doncaster Rovers - Bolton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
29.12.25	Stockport County - Doncaster Rovers	4:2 ✺
26.12.25	Blackpool - Doncaster Rovers	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Doncaster Rovers - Plymouth Argyle	1:5 ✺
13.12.25	Cardiff City - Doncaster Rovers	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLLL
- Southampton FC
English League Championship
04.01.26	Middlesbrough - Southampton	4:0 ✺
01.01.26	Southampton - Millwall	0:0 ✺
29.12.25	Birmingham City - Southampton	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Oxford United - Southampton	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Southampton - Coventry City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
24.03.12	Southampton - Doncaster Rovers	N/A

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