Match Info

League One - Round 25

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Eco-Power Stadium (Doncaster)

Referee: Howard P. (Eng)


	Doncaster Rovers		Luton Town

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.55	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.3
	2.48	3.45	2.68
	2.55	3.51	2.76
	2.59	3.34	2.64	Watch
	2.5	3.25	2.63
	2.49	3.4	2.66	Watch
	2.71	3.4	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.8)	3.39 ↑ (3.08)	2.58 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Doncaster Rovers
36.2%

Draw
27.6%

Luton Town
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

29.7%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

29%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	37.5%	50%

Doncaster Rovers - Luton Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Doncaster will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Luton will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Luton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Clark Z. (G) 2. Sterry J. 12. Byrne N. 5. Pearson M. 23. Senior J. 22. Gotts R. 7. Molyneux L. 4. Bailey O. (C) 18. Lee E. 17. Middleton G. 9. Hanlan B.	24. Keeley J. (G) 25. Jones I. 17. Lonwijk N. 16. Odoffin H. 38. Johnson J. 8. Walsh L. 6. van den Berg D. 18. Clark J. (C) 54. Palmer K. 32. Lawrence E. 21. Wells N.
Substitutes
47. Adelakun H. 15. Clifton H. 33. Close B. 11. Gibson J. 29. Lo-Tutala T. (G) 6. McGrath J. 14. Sharp B.	33. Bramall C. 22. Cole D. 30. Kodua G. 3. Naismith K. 27. Richards J. 23. Saville G. 1. Shea J. (G)
Coaches
McCann G.	Wilshere J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Palmer K. ⚽, Clark J. (A),
41', Clark J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 1 - 1, Hanlan B. ⚽, Bailey O. (A),
66', Sterry J. ↓, Close B. ↑,
66', Lee E. ↓, Clifton H. ↑,
66', van den Berg D. ↓, Richards J. ↑,
68', Palmer K. 🟨,
72', Walsh L. 🟨,
73', Palmer K. ↓, Saville G. ↑,
73', Lawrence E. ↓, Bramall C. ↑,
73', Wells N. ↓, Cole D. ↑,
90+4', Gotts R. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 8).

Doncaster has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Luton has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Al Hamadi A. (Inactive) Baptiste S. (Knee Injury) Jones I. (Injury) Richards J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Doncaster: Close B. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Luton: Makosso C. (Inactive) Naismith K. (Inactive) Nordas L. (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Doncaster won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Doncaster won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Outrights of English League One for now

Luton: 6.84% Doncaster: 1.75%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Luton	7	2	2	3	12:14	-2	8
21	Doncaster	7	1	3	3	8:9	-1	6

Last Results with these Odds

Doncaster Rovers - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 32.6%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Luton Town - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 37.72%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Doncaster Rovers
English League One
07.03.26	Plymouth Argyle - Doncaster Rovers	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
03.03.26	Doncaster Rovers - Stockport County	0:1 ✺
English League One
28.02.26	Doncaster Rovers - Cardiff City	0:4 ✺
21.02.26	Rotherham United - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Doncaster Rovers - Huddersfield Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLWW
- Luton Town
English League One
07.03.26	Luton Town - Reading	2:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
04.03.26	Luton Town - Northampton Town	2:1 ✺
English League One
28.02.26	Port Vale - Luton Town	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
24.02.26	Luton Town - Plymouth Argyle	2:1 ✺
English League One
21.02.26	Luton Town - Burton Albion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
27.09.25	Luton Town - Doncaster Rovers	1:0
23.03.19	Luton Town - Doncaster Rovers	4:0
08.09.18	Doncaster Rovers - Luton Town	2:1
English League Two
18.02.17	Doncaster Rovers - Luton Town	1:1
24.09.16	Luton Town - Doncaster Rovers	3:1

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