The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Doncaster Rovers 46.1%
Draw 28.4%
Rochdale 25.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.9%
28.6%
28.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
25.9%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Doncaster Rovers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rochdale could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
70.6%
5.9%
23.5%
Doncaster Rovers - Rochdale Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Doncaster will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Rochdale will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Doncaster: 48.9% – 92.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 23 in the zone Relegation).
Doncaster has the most likely position - 13 (7.98%), has project points - 63, has currently - 31, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (14%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Rochdale has the most likely position - 24 (24.23%), has project points - 41, has currently - 15, has a chance of relegated (44%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has very small quality8, small importance28, small match rating18. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Doncaster won 3.
Recent matches Doncaster is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Rochdale is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recently Doncaster have a series of guest games.
Recently Rochdale have a series of home games.
Doncaster will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Doncaster won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 25-17.
Including matches at home between the teams Doncaster won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-5.
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