Match Info

3. Liga - Round 28

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena (Duisburg)

Referee: Kabalakli C. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 2
Germany	Magenta Sport, tv.dfb.de
Usa	ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	Duisburg		Saarbrücken

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3.05	Watch
	2.27	3.35	3.31
	2.14	3.41	3.25	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3
	2.19	3.4	3.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.17)	3.3 ↓ (3.48)	3.13 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duisburg
42.5%

Draw
28%

Saarbrücken
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

26.5%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

25.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duisburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Saarbrücken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saarbrücken than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Duisburg - Saarbrücken Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Duisburg will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Braune M. (G) 29. Bitter J. 5. Fleckstein T. 42. Hahn A. (C) 27. Coskun C. 18. Meuer S. 19. Muller L. 14. Noss C. 10. Viet C. 31. Kother D. 45. Lobinger L.	13. Menzel P. (G) 7. Rizzuto C. 32. Bormuth R. 18. Wilhelm L. 28. Bretschneider N. 6. Sontheimer P. (C) 23. Civeja T. 11. Multhaup M. 22. Caliskaner K. 20. Pick F. 30. Baumann D.
Substitutes
7. Bookjans J. 8. Casar A. 17. Gockan M. 20. Jessen N. 26. Kruger F. 24. Paris J. (G) 40. Schlicke B. 37. Sussek P. 23. Symalla J.	27. Bichsel J. 17. Elongo-Yombo R. 2. Fahrner P. 5. Krahn E. 25. Naifi A. 1. Paterok T. (G) 10. Rabihic K. 4. Sonnenberg S. 24. Wollschlager L.
Coaches
Hirsch D.	Giannikis A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Lobinger L. ⚽, Meuer S. (A),
32', Civeja T. 🟨,
33', Coskun C. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Fleckstein T. (Own goal),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
49', 1 - 2, Multhaup M. ⚽, Baumann D. (A),
56', Kother D. ↓, Sussek P. ↑,
57', Muller L. ↓, Casar A. ↑,
58', Viet C. ↓, Symalla J. ↑,
58', 2 - 2, Noss C. ⚽,
64', 3 - 2, Noss C. ⚽,
68', Sontheimer P. ↓, Krahn E. ↑,
69', Caliskaner K. ↓, Elongo-Yombo R. ↑,
74', Meuer S. ↓, Jessen N. ↑,
74', Coskun C. ↓, Gockan M. ↑,
76', Multhaup M. ↓, Naifi A. ↑,
84', 4 - 2, Symalla J. ⚽,
85', Baumann D. ↓, Wollschlager L. ↑,
85', Civeja T. ↓, Rabihic K. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Duisburg won 2.

In recent matches, Duisburg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Saarbrücken is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Duisburg might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Duisburg won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 1.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Duisburg won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 2.4:2.4).

Outrights of German 3 Bundesliga for now

Duisburg: 23.75% Saarbrucken: 5.07%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Duisburg	8	7	0	1	22:9	13	21
5	Saarbrucken	8	4	2	2	19:12	7	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MSV Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga
04.03.26	Ingolstadt - Duisburg	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Duisburg - TSV Havelse	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Duisburg - Schweinfurt	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Wehen Wiesbaden - Duisburg	6:1 ✺
08.02.26	Duisburg - Verl	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTWLW
- 1. FC Saarbrücken
German 3 Bundesliga
04.03.26	Saarbrücken - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Schweinfurt - Saarbrücken	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Ulm 1846 - Saarbrücken	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Saarbrücken - VfB Stuttgart II	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Saarbrücken	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
30.09.25	Saarbrücken - Duisburg	0:0
16.03.24	Duisburg - Saarbrücken	2:0
29.11.23	Saarbrücken - Duisburg	0:0
21.05.23	Duisburg - Saarbrücken	2:2
14.01.23	Saarbrücken - Duisburg	2:3
23.01.22	Duisburg - Saarbrücken	3:4
14.08.21	Saarbrücken - Duisburg	2:0

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