Match Info

SCOTLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 27

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday

Location: C&G Systems Stadium (Dumbarton)


	Dumbarton		Peterhead

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.3
	2	3.3	3.1
	2.1	3.4	3.25	Watch
	2.02	3.15	3.13
	2.14	3.6	3.2
	2	3.4	3.3
	2.08	3.4	3.3
	2.01	3.35	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.11)	3.36 ↑ (3.25)	3.24 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dumbarton
44.6%

Draw
27.2%

Peterhead
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

28.3%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

27.7%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dumbarton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

The chances for Peterhead have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dumbarton than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterhead than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Dumbarton - Peterhead Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Hogarth J. (G) 12. Pignatiello C. 21. Newbury C. 26. Crighton S. 28. Lennon G. 2. Lynas A. 8. Wilson D. 6. Blair R. 18. Gray F. 14. Wallace T. 23. Ruth M.	1. McKenzie S. (G) 2. Strachan D. 4. Goldie C. 16. Wilson D. 32. Duffy F. 19. Pawlett P. 8. McCarthy A. 17. McKee J. 18. Brown J. 10. Shanks K. 9. McAllister R.
Substitutes
. Graham J. 10. Healy A. 17. Hilton J. 27. Kelly M. 4. Malcolm B. 19. O'Neil P. (G) 15. Vata L. . Wilson C.	3. Armstrong J. 14. Gibbons K. 77. O’Keefe C. 7. Ritchie H. 25. Stewart A. 6. Strachan R. 11. Ward R. 13. Wood S. (G)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dumbarton won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Dumbarton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Dumbarton will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Dumbarton won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 22-30.

Including matches at home between the teams Dumbarton won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dumbarton
Scottish League Two
24.02.24	Dumbarton - Stranraer	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Clyde - Dumbarton	2:0 ✺
13.02.24	Dumbarton - Spartans	0:0 ✺
10.02.24	Dumbarton - Forfar Athletic	2:2 ✺
03.02.24	Stenhousemuir - Dumbarton	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLTTL
- Peterhead
Scottish League Two
24.02.24	Peterhead - Elgin City	1:1 ✺
20.02.24	Peterhead - Bonnyrigg Rose	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Forfar Athletic - Peterhead	3:3 ✺
03.02.24	Clyde - Peterhead	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Peterhead - Stenhousemuir	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
09.01.24	Peterhead - Dumbarton	3:1
23.09.23	Dumbarton - Peterhead	0:1
Scottish League Cup
16.07.22	Peterhead - Dumbarton	0:2
Scottish League One
09.04.22	Dumbarton - Peterhead	1:1
26.02.22	Peterhead - Dumbarton	4:3
18.12.21	Dumbarton - Peterhead	2:3
02.10.21	Peterhead - Dumbarton	5:0

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