Match Info

SCOTLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 27

Date: 3 March 2023, Friday

Location: Hope CBD Stadium (Hamilton)

Referee: Napier C. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sport 1+
Norway	Viaplay
Scotland	BBC Scotland
Sweden	Viaplay


	Hamilton Academical		Arbroath

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.2	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.15
	3.15	3.2	2.2
	3.1	3.2	2.18
	3.21	3.33	2.31
	2.45	3.1	2.7
	3.22	3.22	2.2	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.45)	3.18 ↑ (3.1)	2.26 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamilton Academical
30.2%

Draw
29%

Arbroath
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

29.3%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

28.8%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamilton Academical has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hamilton Academical's form might have worsened.

Arbroath has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arbroath's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hamilton Academical, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arbroath, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	50%	10%

Hamilton Academical - Arbroath Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Hamilton will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Arbroath will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hamilton won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Hamilton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Hamilton have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Hamilton won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Hamilton won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamilton Academical
Scottish Football Championship
25.02.23	Hamilton Academical - Queens Park	1:4 ✺
21.02.23	Hamilton Academical - Inverness	2:1 ✺
18.02.23	Inverness - Hamilton Academical	0:3 ✺
Scottish Cup
10.02.23	Hamilton Academical - Hearts	0:2 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
07.02.23	Hamilton Academical - Queen of the South	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWWLW
- Arbroath
Scottish Football Championship
25.02.23	Arbroath - Partick Thistle	0:0 ✺
18.02.23	Cove Rangers - Arbroath	1:1 ✺
04.02.23	Arbroath - Raith Rovers	1:2 ✺
28.01.23	Greenock Morton - Arbroath	1:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
21.01.23	Arbroath - Motherwell	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
22.10.22	Arbroath - Hamilton Academical	1:0
27.08.22	Hamilton Academical - Arbroath	1:0
09.04.22	Hamilton Academical - Arbroath	0:1
09.02.22	Arbroath - Hamilton Academical	2:2
06.11.21	Hamilton Academical - Arbroath	1:1
11.09.21	Arbroath - Hamilton Academical	4:0
Scottish League Cup
02.08.14	Hamilton Academical - Arbroath	2:1

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