Match Info

Championship - Round 2

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: East End Park (Dunfermline)

Referee: Dickinson D. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	ParsTV Dunfermline


	Dunfermline Athletic		Ayr United

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.30	3.40
	1.93	3.10	3.50
	1.94	3.30	3.70	Watch
	2.00	3.38	4.05
	2.07	3.3	3.6	Watch
	1.94	3.30	4.00
	2.03	3.52	3.63	Watch
	2.02	3.25	3.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.14)	3.31 ↑ (3.11)	3.69 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunfermline Athletic
46.8%

Draw
28%

Ayr United
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

29.6%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

30.7%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunfermline Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Ayr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Dunfermline Athletic - Ayr United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dunfermline will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ayr will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dibaga M. (G) 25. Donnelly A. 15. Cleall-Harding S. 5. Robinson L. 11. Kearney S. 8. Gilmour C. (C) 14. Amade A. 47. Fraser R. 26. Tod A. 20. Kane Ch. 10. Shaw O.	1. Stone H. (G) 32. Watret D. 20. McBeth L. 3. Dick L. 5. Holt K. 22. McKenzie M. 6. Lyon R. (C) 16. Summers B. 11. Taylor R. 7. Stirton O. 25. Mitchell K.
Substitutes
18. Adams O. 22. Bray K. 33. Cooper J. 23. Davidson A. 16. MacLeod R. 28. McLeod E. 7. Morrison C. 40. Terrell B. (G) 3. Tod J.	18. Hislop J. 2. McAllister N. 33. McMann S. 15. Murphy J. 38. Russell L. (G) 35. Simpson J. 4. Want S. 26. Warbrick M.
Coaches
Lennon N.	Naysmith G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Tod A. ⚽, Kearney S. (A),
45+1', 1 - 1, McBeth L. ⚽, Taylor R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Mitchell K. ↓, Murphy J. ↑,
60', Kane Ch. 🟨,
61', Kane Ch. ↓, Cooper J. ↑,
77', Taylor R. ↓, McMann S. ↑,
77', McKenzie M. ↓, McAllister N. ↑,
77', Tod A. ↓, Adams O. ↑,
88', Summers B. ↓, Hislop J. ↑,
89', Amade A. ↓, Bray K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dunfermline won 2.

Dunfermline is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ayr is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Dunfermline is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dunfermline won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:24. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Dunfermline won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1:1).

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Dunfermline: 8.83% Ayr: 1.52%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Dunfermline	7	3	3	1	6:4	2	12
6	Ayr	9	3	2	4	9:10	-1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Dunfermline Athletic - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.16%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dunfermline Athletic
Scottish Football Championship
01.08.26	Inverness - Dunfermline Athletic	0:0 ✺
Scottish League Cup
26.07.26	St. Mirren - Dunfermline Athletic	0:1 ✺
21.07.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Cove Rangers	5:0 ✺
14.07.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Dumbarton	4:1 ✺
11.07.26	East Kilbride - Dunfermline Athletic	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWWWL
- Ayr United
Scottish Football Championship
01.08.26	Ayr United - Arbroath	2:0 ✺
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Ayr United - Alloa Athletic	4:1 ✺
18.07.26	Ayr United - Edinburgh City	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	Falkirk - Ayr United	0:1 ✺
11.07.26	Stranraer - Ayr United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
07.04.26	Ayr United - Dunfermline Athletic	0:3
20.12.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Ayr United	2:3
31.10.25	Ayr United - Dunfermline Athletic	0:1
23.09.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Ayr United	0:1
29.03.25	Ayr United - Dunfermline Athletic	3:0
14.01.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Ayr United	0:2
23.11.24	Ayr United - Dunfermline Athletic	1:0

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