The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stenhousemuir 21.5%
Draw 26.3%
Dunfermline Athletic 52.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33.1%
29.7%
37.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.7%
29.9%
37.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stenhousemuir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stenhousemuir's form might have worsened.
Dunfermline Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dunfermline Athletic's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stenhousemuir than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stenhousemuir, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (-14.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dunfermline Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Stenhousemuir - Dunfermline Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Stenhousemuir will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Dunfermline will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (1.69) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jamieson D. (G) 24. Grant L. 4. Buchanan G. (C) 19. Bright S. 15. Carrick D. 17. Anderson M. 39. Gillies M. 28. Penman C. 7. O'Reilly E. 20. Stevenson G. 11. O'Donnell L.
1. Oxborough A. (G) 24. Lobban D. 25. Donnelly A. 6. Abdulai N. 47. Fraser R. (C) 19. Oyirwoth A. 14. Amade A. 33. Cooper J. 16. MacLeod R. 99. Adams O. 26. Tod A.
Substitutes
34. Hemfrey R. (G) 21. Hodgkiss L. 26. Jamieson N. 22. Kargbo H. 36. Lloyd L. 37. MacIntyre O. 8. Robson F. 10. Shinnie A. 5. Young S.
22. Bray K. 18. Corbally K. 12. Dibaga M. (G) 8. Gilmour C. 20. Kane Ch. 11. Kearney S. 10. Shaw O. 17. Thomas O. 3. Tod J.
Coaches
Bartley M.
Lennon N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Grant L. 🟨,
37', Cooper J. ↓, Bray K. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', O'Donnell L. ↓, Hodgkiss L. ↑,
70', Amade A. ↓, Gilmour C. ↑,
70', Adams O. ↓, Kane Ch. ↑,
72', Gillies M. ↓, Lloyd L. ↑,
72', O'Reilly E. ↓, Robson F. ↑,
76', 0 - 1, MacLeod R. ⚽,
79', Stevenson G. ↓, Kargbo H. ↑,
79', Carrick D. ↓, MacIntyre O. ↑,
86', MacLeod R. ↓, Kearney S. ↑,
87', Oyirwoth A. ↓, Tod J. ↑,
88', Kearney S. 🟨,
90', Abdulai N. 🟨,
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Premiership (Promotion: Semi - finals) and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stenhousemuir won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Stenhousemuir could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Dunfermline is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Stenhousemuir has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:37 (averaging 0.8:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Stenhousemuir against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 6:16 goals (averaging 1:2.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Stenhousemuir
13
7
2
4
13:12
1
23
4
Dunfermline
12
5
6
1
10:6
4
21
Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now