Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 13

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stangmore Park (Dungannon)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Dungannon Swifts		Glenavon

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.85	4.75
	1.76	3.85	4.26
	1.76	3.77	3.98	Watch
	1.56	4.07	5.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.76)	3.89 ↑ (3.76)	4.61 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dungannon Swifts
55.7%

Draw
24%

Glenavon
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

24.6%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

23.9%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dungannon Swifts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Glenavon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dungannon Swifts than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glenavon than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Dungannon Swifts - Glenavon Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Dungannon will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Glenavon will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dunne D. (G) 34. Bigirimana G. (C) 10. Dillon K. 14. Glenny A. 6. Kelly T. 5. Marron C. 22. McAleese B. 67. McAllister S. 40. Ogedi-Uzokwe J. 2. Scott S. 23. Wallace D.	25. Bosakani B. 13. Campbell P. 27. Carlin S. 8. Malone J. 29. McGovern P. 6. McKeown B. (C) 2. McMullan J. 4. Murphy H. 22. O'Connor M. 14. O'Kane O. 26. Smith C.
Substitutes
12. Henderson A. (G) 8. Knowles J. 4. Maguire P. 19. Maguire T. 17. McGinty C. 26. Mitchell A. 20. Smith M.	5. Cartwright L. 19. Lomboto F. 17. Lowe K. 9. McDaid D. 31. Quinn N.
Coaches
McAree R.	O'Connor M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Ogedi-Uzokwe J. ⚽,
24', O'Connor M. 🟨,
29', Marron C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Marron C. ↓, McGinty C. ↑,
54', Bigirimana G. 🟨,
58', O'Connor M. ↓, McDaid D. ↑,
59', McAleese B. ↓, Knowles J. ↑,
73', Smith C. ↓, Lomboto F. ↑,
73', Carlin S. ↓, Bosakani B. ↑,
79', McAllister S. ↓, Maguire T. ↑,
80', McKeown B. ↓, Quinn N. ↑,
80', McGovern P. ↓, Campbell P. ↑,
84', Dillon K. ↓, Mitchell A. ↑,
90+2', Campbell P. 🟨,
90+2', Maguire T. 🟨,
90+4', O'Kane O. 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dungannon won 3.

Dungannon is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Glenavon's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Dungannon is a strong favorite.

We predict that Dungannon will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dungannon won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:36. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Dungannon won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.6:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dungannon Swifts
Northern Irish Premiership
18.10.25	Coleraine - Dungannon Swifts	4:0 ✺
11.10.25	Dungannon Swifts - Glentoran	3:1 ✺
Northern Irish League Cup
08.10.25	Ards - Dungannon Swifts	1:2 penalties ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
04.10.25	Dungannon Swifts - Larne	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Ballymena United - Dungannon Swifts	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 LWWWW
- Glenavon FC
Northern Irish Premiership
18.10.25	Glenavon - Carrick Rangers	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Glenavon - Bangor	0:3 ✺
04.10.25	Portadown - Glenavon	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Glenavon - Crusaders	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Linfield - Glenavon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
06.09.25	Glenavon - Dungannon Swifts	0:2
17.01.25	Dungannon Swifts - Glenavon	2:3
16.11.24	Dungannon Swifts - Glenavon	2:0
21.09.24	Glenavon - Dungannon Swifts	1:1
20.04.24	Dungannon Swifts - Glenavon	2:0
09.03.24	Glenavon - Dungannon Swifts	4:0
04.11.23	Glenavon - Dungannon Swifts	1:0

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