Match Info

Date: 21 September 2021, Tuesday


	Dunkerque		Toulouse

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.75	1.66	Watch
	5	3.5	1.68
	5.25	3.4	1.68	Watch
	5	3.5	1.66
	5.46	3.68	1.72
	5.5	3.4	1.65	Watch
	4.95	3.75	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.24 ↑ (4.67)	3.57 (3.57)	1.68 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunkerque
17.9%

Draw
26.3%

Toulouse
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

26.8%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5%

21.5%

65.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toulouse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.2%	8.8%	77.9%

Dunkerque - Toulouse Predictions

Users Predictions: 68 users predict this event. Dunkerque will win (votes: 9 - 13.2%). Toulouse will win (votes: 53 - 77.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 8.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 68% – 87.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Dunkerque has the most likely position - 20 (30.5%), has project points - 33, has currently - 3, has a good chance of relegated (54%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Toulouse has the most likely position - 1 (61.99%), has project points - 80, has currently - 20, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of promoted (82%), has a good chance of win league (62%).

Dunkerque is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Toulouse in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Toulouse is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Dunkerque won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Dunkerque won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 2
18.09.21	Dijon - Dunkerque	2:0 ✺
11.09.21	Dunkerque - Nancy	0:0 ✺
28.08.21	Rodez - Dunkerque	2:2 ✺
21.08.21	Dunkerque - Nîmes	0:2 ✺
14.08.21	Sochaux - Dunkerque	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTTLL
- Toulouse FC
French Ligue 2
18.09.21	Toulouse - Grenoble	4:1 ✺
13.09.21	Le Havre - Toulouse	1:1 ✺
28.08.21	Toulouse - Valenciennes	1:0 ✺
21.08.21	Dijon - Toulouse	2:4 ✺
14.08.21	Toulouse - Bastia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
15.05.21	Dunkerque - Toulouse	3:3
22.08.20	Toulouse - Dunkerque	0:1

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