Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 8

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion (Dresden)

Referee: Ittrich P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
Israel	Sport 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN 2
Serbia	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 4
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Top Event
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tivibu Spor 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Dynamo Dresden		Karlsruher

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.8	3.1	Watch
	2.15	3.6	3.1
	2.08	3.6	3.1
	2.27	3.7	3.21
	2.32	3.51	2.88	Watch
				Watch
	2.13	3.6	3.13	Watch
	2.14	3.7	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.25)	3.64 ↑ (3.4)	3.1 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dynamo Dresden
43.6%

Draw
25.9%

Karlsruher
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

27.1%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

27.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Karlsruher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	25%	8.3%

Dynamo Dresden - Karlsruher Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Karlsruher will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dynamo Dresden: 40% – 93.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Dynamo Dresden (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dynamo Dresden will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Dynamo Dresden (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Karlsruher (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schreiber T. (G) 2. Faber K. 15. Kammerknecht C. 13. Pauli J. 28. Risch S. 17. Casar A. 6. Amoako K. 25. Oehmichen J. 27. Hauptmann N. (C) 16. Froling N. 33. Daferner C.	1. Bernat C. (G) 22. Kobald C. 6. Rapp N. 4. Beifus M. 36. Pinto Pedrosa R. 7. Burnic D. 20. Herold D. 25. Egloff L. 10. Wanitzek M. (C) 11. Forster P. 24. Schleusener F.
Substitutes
29. Boeder L. 23. Bunning L. 22. Grill L. (G) 8. Herrmann L. 11. Kother D. 30. Kutschke S. 10. Lemmer J. 26. Marx J. H. 24. Menzel T.	13. Fukuda S. 35. Geller R. 30. Himmelmann R. (G) 34. Kritzer M. 16. Muller A. 17. Opitz L. 15. Scholl P. 9. Simic R.
Coaches
Stamm T.	Eichner C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 1 - 0, Froling N. ⚽, Risch S. (A),
11', 1 - 1, Beifus M. ⚽, Herold D. (A),
37', 1 - 2, Egloff L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Amoako K. ↓, Boeder L. ↑,
52', 2 - 2, Daferner C. ⚽, Oehmichen J. (A),
61', 2 - 3, Schleusener F. ⚽, Pinto Pedrosa R. (A),
68', Oehmichen J. ↓, Lemmer J. ↑,
68', Daferner C. ↓, Kother D. ↑,
74', Froling N. ↓, Kutschke S. ↑,
75', Forster P. ↓, Muller A. ↑,
80', Risch S. ↓, Marx J. H. ↑,
84', Egloff L. ↓, Simic R. ↑,
89', Schleusener F. ↓, Kritzer M. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 3, Lemmer J. ⚽,
90+5', Beifus M. 🟨,
90+6', Kutschke S. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 3.

Recent performances by Dynamo Dresden have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Karlsruher is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dynamo Dresden may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dynamo Dresden could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Rossipal A. (Muscle Injury) Zickler J. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Karlsruher: Ben Farhat L. (Broken Leg) Ersungur A. (Knee Injury) Sihlaroglu E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Karlsruher: Franke M. (Back Injury) Jung S. (Back Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.6:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo Dresden won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dynamo Dresden
German 2 Bundesliga
26.09.25	Darmstadt - Dynamo Dresden	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Dynamo Dresden - Hannover	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Elversberg - Dynamo Dresden	2:2 ✺
31.08.25	Dynamo Dresden - Schalke 04	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Dynamo Dresden	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LTTLW
- Karlsruher SC
German 2 Bundesliga
27.09.25	Karlsruher - Magdeburg	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Holstein Kiel - Karlsruher	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Karlsruher - Nürnberg	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Karlsruher	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Karlsruher - Eintracht Braunschweig	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
08.05.22	Karlsruher - Dynamo Dresden	2:2
05.12.21	Dynamo Dresden - Karlsruher	3:1
29.01.20	Dynamo Dresden - Karlsruher	1:0
03.08.19	Karlsruher - Dynamo Dresden	4:2
14.05.17	Karlsruher - Dynamo Dresden	3:4
09.12.16	Dynamo Dresden - Karlsruher	0:0
27.04.14	Dynamo Dresden - Karlsruher	2:2

Upcoming Matches