Match Info

RUSSIA: Premier League - Round 14

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Fakel Stadium (Voronezh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Montenegro	Arena Sport 4
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Sportbox.ru


	Fakel		Khimki

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.02	2.87
	2.86	3.26	2.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.5)	3.14 ↓ (3.32)	2.83 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fakel
34.3%

Draw
31.2%

Khimki
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

29.7%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

31.7%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fakel's form might have worsened.

Khimki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimki than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Fakel - Khimki Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Khimki will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gudiev V. (G) 22. Yurganov I. 4. Dziov M. 13. Kalinin I. 7. Brahimi M. 33. Kvekveskiri I. 5. Cele T. 6. Mertens D. 10. Alshin I. 23. Yakimov V. 9. Kashtanov A.	87. Kokarev N. (G) 99. Orinho 2. Golubovic P. 25. Filin A. 26. Andjelkovic N. 32. Vera L. 80. Khosonov K. 18. Bakaev Z. 22. Mejia R. 9. Rudenko A. 91. Zabolotnyi A.
Substitutes
8. Bagamaev A. 77. Bagatelia L. 31. Belenov A. (G) 47. Bozhin S. 92. Bryzgalov S. 17. Giorgobiani N. 15. Iljin V. 64. Ivlev A. 20. Markov E. 88. Masternoy V. 11. Motpan N. 21. Shchetinin M.	10. Abdullahi S. 17. Berkovskiy I. 77. Corredera A. 72. Fernandez D. 97. Magomedov B. 11. Mirzov R. 96. Obukhov I. (G) 7. Sadygov I. 5. Stepanov D. 13. Terekhov S.
Coaches
Pyatibratov D.	Artiga F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Rudenko A. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Brahimi M. ⚽, Alshin I. (A),
45+1', Rudenko A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Yakimov V. ↓, Markov E. ↑,
67', Mertens D. ↓, Ivlev A. ↑,
67', Cele T. ↓, Giorgobiani N. ↑,
69', Kalinin I. 🟨,
78', Bakaev Z. ↓, Corredera A. ↑,
83', Brahimi M. ↓, Mospan N. ↑,
90+4', Mejia R. ↓, Magomedov B. ↑,
90+4', Vera L. ↓, Mirzov R. ↑,
90+4', Rudenko A. ↓, Sadygov I. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fakel won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Khimki could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Fakel: Senhadji R. (Red Card)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Fakel won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Fakel won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fakel Voronezh
Russian Premier League
26.10.24	CSKA Moscow - Fakel	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
22.10.24	Fakel - Zenit	0:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
18.10.24	Akhmat Grozny - Fakel	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
12.10.24	Fakel - Torpedo-BelAZ	1:3 ✺
Russian Premier League
06.10.24	Fakel - Dynamo Makhachkala	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 TLWLT
- FC Khimki
Russian Premier League
27.10.24	Khimki - Dynamo Moscow	3:4 ✺
Russian Cup
23.10.24	Orenburg - Khimki	2:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
19.10.24	Khimki - Lokomotiv Moscow	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Krasnodar - Khimki	4:0 ✺
Russian Cup
02.10.24	Khimki - Rostov	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
03.03.23	Fakel - Khimki	1:1
15.10.22	Khimki - Fakel	0:0
Club Friendly
30.06.21	Khimki - Fakel	0:1
Russian FNL Cup
20.02.20	Khimki - Fakel	1:1
Russian FNL
21.09.19	Fakel - Khimki	0:3
03.03.19	Khimki - Fakel	1:1
18.08.18	Fakel - Khimki	2:0

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