Match Info

Premier League - Round 21

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: Anzhi Arena (Kaspijsk)

Referee: Chistyakov A. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Football Asia
Belarus	Belarus 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 4


	Dynamo Makhachkala		Orenburg

	1	X	2
	2.26	3.12	3.69
	2.25	3.2	3.65	Watch
	2.25	2.97	3.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.22)	3.1 ↑ (2.97)	3.54 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Makhachkala
42.3%

Draw
30.8%

Orenburg
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

31%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

29.2%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Makhachkala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Makhachkala than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Dynamo Makhachkala - Orenburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Dynamo Makhachkala will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dynamo Makhachkala (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Volk D. (G) 22. Azzi M. 4. Shumakhov I. (C) 5. Tabidze J. 71. Dapo J. 16. Mrezigue H. 6. Moubarik M. 47. Glushkov N. 10. Hosseinnejad M. 77. Sundukov T. 25. Agalarov G.	1. Ovsyannikov B. (G) 18. Moufi F. (C) 6. Palacios J. 26. Tsenov E. 3. Vedernikov D. 37. Du Queiroz 59. Avanesyan T. 16. Thompson J. 8. Puebla D. 7. Gurluk E. 9. Savelyev M.
Substitutes
43. Akhmedov I. 24. Alarcon A. 13. Kagermazov S. 33. Karabashev N. (G) 39. Magomedov T. (G) 7. Mastouri H. 55. Mechid D. E. 11. Miro 28. Serderov S. 75. Shikhaliev A. 78. Voronin N. 19. Zinovich K.	19. Alexandre Jesus 57. Bolotov E. 32. Cantero A. 29. El Mahraoui A. 30. Guzina G. 4. Khotulev D. 78. Kul R. 33. Kvekveskiri I. 2. Poroykov S. 88. Rudakov M. (G) 20. Rybchinskiy D. 5. Tataev A.
Coaches
Evseev V.	Akhmetzyanov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Dapo J. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Hosseinnejad M. ⚽,
36', Puebla D. 🟨,
43', Shumakhov I. ↓, Alarcon A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Agalarov G. ↓, Mastouri H. ↑,
63', Dapo J. ↓, Zinovich K. ↑,
70', Gurluk E. ↓, Rybchinskiy D. ↑,
70', Du Queiroz ↓, Kul R. ↑,
78', Vedernikov D. ↓, Guzina G. ↑,
78', Puebla D. ↓, Cantero A. ↑,
85', Hosseinnejad M. ↓, Akhmedov I. ↑,
90', Savelyev M. ↓, Alexandre Jesus ↑,
90+2', Moufi F. 🟨,
90+2', Azzi M. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).

Dynamo Makhachkala is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Orenburg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Orenburg has had a series of home games.

Dynamo Makhachkala could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Dynamo Makhachkala: Sandrachuk A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Makhachkala won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Dynamo Makhachkala won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

Dynamo Makhachkala: 0.84% Orenburg: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Orenburg	10	2	6	2	11:10	1	12
8	Dynamo Makhachkala	10	4	0	6	15:20	-5	12

Last Results with these Odds

Orenburg - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 27.5%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dynamo Makhachkala
Russian Premier League
08.03.26	Krylya Sovetov - Dynamo Makhachkala	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
04.03.26	Rostov - Dynamo Makhachkala	0:2 ✺
Russian Premier League
28.02.26	Dynamo Makhachkala - Rubin Kazan	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.02.26	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Dynamo Makhachkala	0:0 ✺
05.02.26	Dynamo Makhachkala - Atyrau	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWWTW
- FC Orenburg
Russian Premier League
08.03.26	Orenburg - Zenit	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup
04.03.26	Krylya Sovetov - Orenburg	2:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
28.02.26	Orenburg - Akron Tolyatti	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
20.02.26	Orenburg - Rubin Kazan	0:1 ✺
13.02.26	Orenburg - Kairat	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
27.07.25	Orenburg - Dynamo Makhachkala	1:1
19.04.25	Orenburg - Dynamo Makhachkala	2:1
09.11.24	Dynamo Makhachkala - Orenburg	2:1

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