Match Info

Premier League - Round 1

Date: 18 July 2025, Friday

Location: VTB Arena (Moscow)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Sport Asia
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3


	Dynamo Moscow		Baltika Kaliningrad

	1	X	2
	1.56	4.25	5.96
	1.6	4.51	5.94
	1.62	3.86	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.62)	4.21 ↑ (3.86)	5.83 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Moscow
60.5%

Draw
22.9%

Baltika Kaliningrad
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

24.6%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Baltika Kaliningrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Dynamo Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad Predictions

Users Predictions: Dynamo Moscow will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dynamo Moscow will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Lunev A. (G) 4. Caceres J. 55. Osipenko M. 6. Fernandez R. 7. Skopintsev D. 10. Bitello 15. Glebov D. 13. Moumi Ngamaleu N. 74. Fomin D. 91. Gladyshev Y. 33. Sergeev I.	67. Borisko M. (G) 16. Andrade K. 2. Varatynov S. 4. Gassama N. 23. Beveev M. 17. Saus V. 8. Mendel A. (C) 22. Titkov N. 10. Petrov I. 91. Gil B. 19. Pryakhin S.
Substitutes
30. Aleksandrov D. 17. Babaev U. 69. Bokov D. 34. Gagnidze L. 50. Kutitsky A. 31. Leshchuk I. (G) 77. Makarov D. 18. Marichal N. 88. Okishor V. 40. Rasulov K. (G) 52. Smelov E. 56. Zaydenzal L.	. Civic E. 25. Filin A. 14. Kovac S. 11. Kovalev Y. 81. Kukushkin I. (G) 44. Lyubakov E. (G) 96. Mokhammad A. 5. Mourid A. 40. Nikitin D. 73. Petrov M. 9. Stefanovich I. 15. Yenne T.
Coaches
Karpin V.	Talalaev A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Gil B. ⚽, Saus V. (A),
31', Osipenko M. 🟨,
40', Mendel A. 🟨,
45+5', Varatynov S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fernandez R. ↓, Marichal N. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Caceres J. ⚽, Bitello (A),
52', Titkov N. ↓, Civic E. ↑,
52', Pryakhin S. ↓, Petrov M. ↑,
58', Gassama N. 🟨,
61', Sergeev I. ↓, Makarov D. ↑,
61', Moumi Ngamaleu N. ↓, Babaev U. ↑,
67', Gil B. ↓, Yenne T. ↑,
67', Petrov I. ↓, Mourid A. ↑,
82', Gassama N. ↓, Filin A. ↑,
90+1', Babaev U. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo M won 4.

Dynamo M is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dynamo M may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Dynamo M has had a series of home games.

In this match, Dynamo M is the team to beat.

There will not play in Dynamo M: Arthur Gomes (Achilles Tendon Injury) Chavez L. (Knee Injury) Majstorovic M. (Injury) Tyukavin K. (Inactive)

There will not play in Baltika: Luna D. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Dynamo M won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 2.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo M won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Dynamo Moscow - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 58.51%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dynamo Moscow
Club Friendly
08.07.25	Dynamo Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	1:1 ✺
04.07.25	Dynamo Moscow - Partizan	3:1 ✺
30.06.25	Dynamo Moscow - OFK Beograd	4:0 ✺
26.06.25	Dynamo Moscow - 2DROTS Moscow	3:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
24.05.25	Krasnodar - Dynamo Moscow	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWWWL
- Baltika Kaliningrad
Club Friendly
06.07.25	Zenit - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:2 ✺
Russian FNL
24.05.25	Arsenal Tula - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:0 ✺
17.05.25	Baltika Kaliningrad - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:0 ✺
10.05.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	Baltika Kaliningrad - Torpedo Moscow	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
11.05.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - Dynamo Moscow	2:3
Club Friendly
23.02.24	Dynamo Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:3
Russian Premier League
13.08.23	Dynamo Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:0
Russian Cup
19.04.22	Baltika Kaliningrad - Dynamo Moscow	1:2 penalties
Russian FNL
13.11.16	Baltika Kaliningrad - Dynamo Moscow	0:3
Russian Cup
25.08.16	Baltika Kaliningrad - Dynamo Moscow	1:3 ET
Russian FNL
27.07.16	Dynamo Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:1

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