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Current Win Probability
Arsenal Tula 38.2%
Draw 29.9%
Baltika Kaliningrad 31.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.9%
31.8%
35.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33%
31.9%
35.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arsenal Tula's performance.
Baltika Kaliningrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arsenal Tula that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Arsenal Tula - Baltika Kaliningrad Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Arsenal (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
18. Tsulaya M. (G) 44. Berdnikov A. 3. Botaka-Yoboma E. 31. Bolshakov K. 8. Popov A. 17. Ahlinvi M. 14. Brnovic M. 59. Avanesyan T. 7. Reyes E. 11. Tkachev S. (C) 25. Djuranovic U.
44. Lyubakov E. (G) 5. Osipov A. (C) 13. Terentjev D. 23. Chernov E. 17. Saus V. 10. Petrov I. 11. Kovalev Y. 96. Mokhammad A. 19. Pryakhin S. 73. Petrov M. 8. Mendel A.
Substitutes
19. Bogdanets K. 10. Geloyan I. 9. Kalmykov A. 20. Khabibov A. 6. Levin V. 78. Lipovoy D. 46. Moskalenchik I. 5. Razdorskikh N. 1. Sangare D. (G) 64. Semenchuk D. 33. Sergeev D. 22. Tsaraev A.
70. Eldarushev A. 89. Gorbachev P. 6. Isaenko O. 81. Kukushkin I. (G) 18. Nikishin K. 40. Nikitin D. 47. Savitskiy I. 88. Shchelkunov T. 9. Stefanovich I. 22. Titkov N.
Coaches
Storozhuk A.
Talalaev A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kovalev Y. ↓, Nikitin D. ↑,
46', Petrov I. ↓, Titkov N. ↑,
58', Tkachev S. ↓, Lipovoy D. ↑,
58', Berdnikov A. ↓, Khabibov A. ↑,
58', Brnovic M. ↓, Tsaraev A. ↑,
65', Chernov E. ↓, Isaenko O. ↑,
65', Petrov M. ↓, Nikishin K. ↑,
75', Mendel A. 🟨,
76', Reyes E. ↓, Bogdanets K. ↑,
81', Nikitin D. 🟨,
84', Saus V. ↓, Shchelkunov T. ↑,
89', Djuranovic U. ↓, Kalmykov A. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
Baltika is Qualified for Premier League
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 2.
Recent form of Arsenal has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Baltika has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
Russia
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Tsulaya M. (G) 
Ahlinvi M. 
Brnovic M. 
Avanesyan T. 
Reyes E. 
Kovalev Y. 
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