The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dynamo Moscow 49.6%
Draw 25%
Lokomotiv Moscow 25.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.8%
26.6%
30.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.7%
26.5%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dynamo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dynamo Moscow's performance.
Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lokomotiv Moscow might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dynamo Moscow that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lokomotiv Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
28.6%
14.3%
Dynamo Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Dynamo M will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Lokomotiv will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dynamo M (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Dynamo M (1.92) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Dynamo M (votes: 2 - 50%). Lokomotiv (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Lunev A. (G) 4. Caceres J. 55. Osipenko M. 19. Zaynutdinov B. 44. Rubens 74. Fomin D. (C) 15. Glebov D. 21. Miranchuk An. 14. Maouhoub E. 33. Sergeev I. 10. Bitello
1. Mitryushkin A. (G) 45. Silyanov A. 59. Pogostnov E. 23. Montes C. 3. Lucas Fasson 6. Barinov D. (C) 93. Karpukas A. 25. Prutsev D. 19. Rudenko A. 10. Vorobyev D. 83. Batrakov A.
Substitutes
17. Babaev U. 6. Fernandez R. 91. Gladyshev Y. 50. Kutitsky A. 31. Leshchuk I. (G) 2. Marichal N. 13. Moumi Ngamaleu N. 88. Okishor V. 40. Rasulov K. (G) 7. Skopintsev D. 70. Tyukavin K.
7. Bakaev Z. 90. Godyaev D. 27. Komlichenko N. 22. Lantratov I. (G) 85. Morozov E. 99. Myalkovskiy R. 24. Nenakhov M. 5. Nyamsi G. 9. Pinyaev S. 14. Saltykov N. 8. Sarveli V. 94. Timofeev A.
Coaches
Karpin V.
Galaktionov M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Prutsev D. ⚽, Vorobyev D. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Sergeev I. ⚽,
27', 2 - 1, Bitello ⚽, Sergeev I. (A),
42', Caceres J. 🟨,
43', 2 - 2, Batrakov A. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
58', Karpukas A. ↓, Komlichenko N. ↑,
60', Rubens ↓, Skopintsev D. ↑,
68', 2 - 3, Komlichenko N. ⚽, Batrakov A. (A),
77', Maouhoub E. ↓, Tyukavin K. ↑,
77', Glebov D. ↓, Marichal N. ↑,
80', Pogostnov E. 🟨,
81', 2 - 4, Vorobyev D. ⚽, Komlichenko N. (A),
85', 3 - 4, Osipenko M. (Pen),
89', Sergeev I. ↓, Gladyshev Y. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 5, Rudenko A. ⚽,
90+5', Vorobyev D. ↓, Nenakhov M. ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo M won 3.
Dynamo M is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Lokomotiv has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Lokomotiv may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Dynamo M has had a series of away games.
Dynamo M might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dynamo M won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 32:33. (average 1.6:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo M won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 1.7:1.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Dynamo Moscow - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 42.78%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
Belarus
Croatia
Russia
Serbia
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Lunev A. (G) 
Caceres J. 
Zaynutdinov B. 
Rubens 
Maouhoub E. 
Montes C. 
Marichal N. 
Moumi Ngamaleu N. 
Myalkovskiy R. 
Nyamsi G. 
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