Match Info

National League South - Round 30

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium (Horsham)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Horsham		Bath City

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	3.5
	1.98	3.2	3.6
	1.92	3.35	3.88
	1.92	3.49	3.8	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.8
	1.85	3.28	3.92
	1.92	3.2	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (1.93)	3.26 ↓ (3.37)	3.69 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horsham
47.4%

Draw
27.9%

Bath City
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

27.2%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

26.4%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horsham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Bath City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Horsham - Bath City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 1 - 0, Luer G. ⚽,
65', Raynes J. 🟥,
71', 1 - 1, Wilson S. (Penalty Awarded),
88', 2 - 1, Hester-Cook C. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 15 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Horsham has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bath is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Horsham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Horsham has had a series of home games.

Horsham is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Horsham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Horsham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Outrights of English National League South for now

Horsham FC: 1.91%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Horsham FC	9	2	5	2	9:10	-1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Bath City - the odds 3.65 are the expected chance of winning is 25.13%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Horsham FC
English National League South
14.03.26	Horsham - Tonbridge Angels	0:1 ✺
10.03.26	Horsham - Hornchurch	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Totton - Horsham	3:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.02.26	Horsham - Southend United	1:2 ✺
English National League South
24.02.26	Horsham - Ebbsfleet United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT
- Bath City
English National League South
14.03.26	Bath City - Hornchurch	2:2 ✺
10.03.26	Bath City - Farnborough	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Chelmsford City - Bath City	7:1 ✺
03.03.26	Bath City - Slough Town	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Enfield Town - Bath City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
01.11.25	Bath City - Horsham	0:2
English FA Trophy
25.11.18	Horsham - Bath City	1:2

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