Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 28

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Eibar		Cádiz

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.7	5.5	Watch
	1.65	3.55	5.15	Watch
	1.67	3.78	5.8
	1.65	3.82	5.47	Watch
	1.65	3.5	5
	1.67	3.77	5.33	Watch
	1.83	3.2	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.92)	3.62 ↑ (3.34)	5.18 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Eibar
56%

Draw
25.9%

Cádiz
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

28.2%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

28.8%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eibar's performance.

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eibar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cádiz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	6.2%	6.2%

Eibar - Cádiz Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Cádiz (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Eibar (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Eibar will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Eibar will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Eibar (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Cádiz (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 2. Cubero S. 8. Nolaskoain P. 21. Moreno M. 23. Arbilla A. (C) 10. Guruzeta J. 17. Corpas J. 30. Garrido A. 14. Olaetxea L. 16. Madariaga A. 20. Javier Marton	13. Aznar V. (G) 29. Caicedo A. 2. Moreno J. 6. Recio I. 20. Carcelen I. 11. Suso (C) 5. Diakite M. 15. Ortuno S. 16. Cordero A. 17. Camara D. 23. Pascual A.
Substitutes
4. Arambarri A. 18. Ares A. 3. Arrillaga H. 9. Bautista J. 24. Bernat J. 27. Garcia H. 15. Jair 34. Llorente O. 1. Lopez L. (G) 11. Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 19. Villa T.	38. Arribas S. 18. Diarra Y. 34. Diaz Peregrina J. 37. Domina J. 8. Fernandez A. 27. Fernandez P. 1. Gil D. (G) 24. Gonzalez J. 3. Kouame R. 10. Ocampo B. 22. Ontiveros J. 33. Pereira R.
Coaches
San Jose B.	Garitano G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Corpas J. (Penalty Awarded),
42', 2 - 0, Javier Marton ⚽, Corpas J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Diakite M. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
58', Moreno J. 🟨,
61', Suso ↓, Ocampo B. ↑,
62', Pascual A. ↓, Domina J. ↑,
62', Carcelen I. ↓, Pereira R. ↑,
67', Madariaga A. ↓, Ares A. ↑,
67', Javier Marton ↓, Bautista J. ↑,
76', Olaetxea L. ↓, Jair ↑,
76', Guruzeta J. ↓, Magunazelaia Argoitia J. ↑,
83', 3 - 0, Ares A. ⚽, Nolaskoain P. (A),
84', Ortuno S. ↓, Diarra Y. ↑,
88', Arbilla A. ↓, Bernat J. ↑,
89', 3 - 1, Ocampo B. ⚽,
90+3', Caicedo A. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 12).

Eibar is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cádiz has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Cádiz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Eibar is the team to beat.

There will not play in Eibar: Bernat J. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There will not play in Cádiz: Kovacevic B. (Injury) Tabatadze I. (Injury) de la Rosa J. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Eibar: Alvarez S. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Eibar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Eibar	8	7	0	1	18:7	11	21
20	Cadiz CF	8	1	4	3	11:10	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
21.02.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Eibar	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Eibar - Racing Santander	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Zaragoza - Eibar	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Eibar - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Eibar - Almería	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWTWW
- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga2
23.02.26	Cádiz - Real Sociedad B	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Burgos - Cádiz	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Cádiz - Almería	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Huesca - Cádiz	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Cádiz - Granada	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
13.09.25	Cádiz - Eibar	1:0
31.03.25	Cádiz - Eibar	0:0
23.10.24	Eibar - Cádiz	1:0
Spanish LaLiga
06.03.21	Cádiz - Eibar	1:0
30.10.20	Eibar - Cádiz	0:2

Upcoming Matches