Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 10

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt)

Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)

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	Eintracht Frankfurt		Mainz

	1	X	2
	1.83	4	3.9	Watch
	1.9	3.95	3.7	Watch
	1.9	3.94	4.09
	1.85	4.13	3.71	Watch
	1.87	4.08	3.98	Watch
	1.85	4.1	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.85)	4.03 ↓ (4.13)	3.85 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eintracht Frankfurt
51.3%

Draw
23.8%

Mainz
24.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.3%

23%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

21.5%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Eintracht Frankfurt have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87%	7.4%	5.6%

Eintracht Frankfurt - Mainz Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Eintracht (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Eintracht Frankfurt will win (47 of 54 users predict this - 87.04%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.08% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Eintracht Frankfurt will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Eintracht (votes: 10 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Zetterer M. (G) 13. Kristensen R. 4. Koch R. (C) 3. Theate A. 20. Doan R. 15. Skhiri E. 18. Dahoud M. 21. Brown N. 8. Chaibi F. 7. Knauff A. 9. Burkardt J.	27. Zentner R. (G) 21. da Costa D. 15. Maloney L. 31. Kohr D. 2. Mwene P. 10. Amiri N. 6. Sano K. 30. Widmer S. (C) 8. Nebel P. 17. Hollerbach B. 7. Lee Jae-Sung
Substitutes
5. Amenda A. 19. Bahoya J. 30. Batshuayi M. 24. Buta 34. Collins N. 27. Gotze M. 40. Kaua Santos (G) 16. Larsson H. 17. Wahi E.	16. Bell S. 14. Boving W. 24. Kawasaki S. 9. Nordin A. 48. Potulski K. 1. Riess L. (G) 11. Sieb A. 22. Veratschnig N. 44. Weiper N.
Coaches
Toppmoller D.	Henriksen B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Widmer S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Skhiri E. ↓, Larsson H. ↑,
46', Chaibi F. ↓, Bahoya J. ↑,
66', Knauff A. ↓, Gotze M. ↑,
68', da Costa D. 🟨,
68', Mwene P. 🟨,
71', Hollerbach B. ↓, Sieb A. ↑,
78', Kristensen R. ↓, Collins N. ↑,
79', Dahoud M. ↓, Wahi E. ↑,
81', 1 - 0, Doan R. ⚽, Collins N. (A),
87', Widmer S. ↓, Weiper N. ↑,
87', Maloney L. ↓, Kawasaki S. ↑,
90', Mwene P. ↓, Veratschnig N. ↑,
90+3', Nebel P. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eintracht won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Mainz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Mainz has had a series of home games.

In this match, Eintracht is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Eintracht: Hojlund O. (Thigh Injury) Uzun C. Y. (Injury)

There will not play in Mainz: Caci A. (Thigh Injury) Dal M. (Knee Injury) Leitsch M. (Illness)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Eintracht won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:22. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Eintracht won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eintracht Frankfurt
UEFA Champions League
04.11.25	Napoli - Eintracht Frankfurt	0:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
01.11.25	Heidenheim - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund	1:2 penalties ✺
German Bundesliga
25.10.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - St. Pauli	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.10.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Liverpool	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTLWL
- Mainz 05
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	Mainz - Fiorentina	2:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
01.11.25	Mainz - Werder Bremen	1:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Mainz - Stuttgart	0:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
26.10.25	Stuttgart - Mainz	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.10.25	Mainz - Zrinjski Mostar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
04.05.25	Mainz - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:1
21.12.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - Mainz	1:3
26.01.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - Mainz	1:0
27.08.23	Mainz - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:1
13.05.23	Eintracht Frankfurt - Mainz	3:0
13.11.22	Mainz - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:1
14.05.22	Mainz - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:2

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