Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 18

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: Weserstadion (Bremen)

Referee: Brand B. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Werder Bremen		Eintracht Frankfurt

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.6	2.45	Watch
	2.72	3.55	2.48	Watch
	2.78	3.62	2.43	Watch
	2.63	3.3	2.45
	2.85	3.7	2.54	Watch
	2.8	3.5	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.54)	3.55 ↓ (3.65)	2.47 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Werder Bremen
34.6%

Draw
26.8%

Eintracht Frankfurt
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

26%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

25.9%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Werder Bremen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Eintracht Frankfurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	29.2%	64.6%

Werder Bremen - Eintracht Frankfurt Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Werder will win (votes: 3 - 6.4%). Eintracht will win (votes: 31 - 66%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 27.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eintracht: 52.5% – 79.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH 0 - Eintracht (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Eintracht (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Eintracht Frankfurt will win (9 of 12 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Eintracht (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Backhaus M. (G) 5. Pieper A. 32. Friedl M. (C) 31. Coulibaly K. 3. Sugawara Y. 14. Lynen S. 23. Schmidt I. 20. Schmid R. 6. Stage J. 11. Njinmah J. 17. Grull M.	40. Kaua Santos (G) 34. Collins N. 4. Koch R. (C) 3. Theate A. 13. Kristensen R. 18. Dahoud M. 15. Skhiri E. 21. Brown N. 20. Doan R. 8. Chaibi F. 25. Kalimuendo A.
Substitutes
28. Alvero S. 24. Covic P. 2. Deman O. 13. Hein K. (G) 22. Malatini J. 7. Mbangula S. 19. Milosevic J. 18. Puertas C. 9. Topp K.	29. Amaimouni A. 5. Amenda A. 19. Bahoya J. 24. Buta 6. Hojlund O. 7. Knauff A. 53. Staff A. 42. Uzun C. Y. 23. Zetterer M. (G)
Coaches
Steffen H.	Toppmoller D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Kalimuendo A. ⚽, Brown N. (A),
29', 1 - 1, Njinmah J. ⚽, Sugawara Y. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', Schmid R. 🟨,
52', Kristensen R. ↓, Knauff A. ↑,
56', 1 - 2, Collins N. ⚽, Chaibi F. (A),
65', Schmidt I. ↓, Milosevic J. ↑,
65', Dahoud M. ↓, Uzun C. Y. ↑,
66', Theate A. 🟨,
76', Grull M. ↓, Mbangula S. ↑,
78', Doan R. 🟨,
78', 2 - 2, Stage J. ⚽, Mbangula S. (A),
81', 3 - 2, Milosevic J. ⚽, Schmid R. (A),
83', Doan R. ↓, Amaimouni A. ↑,
83', Chaibi F. ↓, Hojlund O. ↑,
85', Amaimouni A. 🟨,
89', Njinmah J. ↓, Topp K. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 3, Knauff A. ⚽, Amaimouni A. (A),
90+6', Brown N. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Werder won 1.

Werder has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Eintracht's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Eintracht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Werder has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Werder: Adeh W. (Inactive) Agu F. (Ankle Injury) Boniface V. (Knee Injury) Stark N. (Lacking Match Fitness) Weiser M. (Knee Injury) Wober M. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Eintracht: Batshuayi M. (Foot Injury) Baum E. (Injury) Burkardt J. (Calf Injury) Ebnoutalib Y. (Injury) Gotze M. (Illness) Larsson H. (Illness)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Werder won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:34. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Werder won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.7:1.6).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Eintracht Frankfurt: 0.46% Werder Bremen: 0.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8:8	0	7
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9:10	-1	5

Last Results with these Odds

Eintracht Frankfurt - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 36.64%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Werder Bremen
German Bundesliga
13.01.26	Borussia Dortmund - Werder Bremen	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.01.26	St. Pauli - Werder Bremen	0:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
20.12.25	Augsburg - Werder Bremen	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Werder Bremen - Stuttgart	0:4 ✺
07.12.25	Hamburger SV - Werder Bremen	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTTLL
- Eintracht Frankfurt
German Bundesliga
13.01.26	Stuttgart - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:2 ✺
09.01.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund	3:3 ✺
20.12.25	Hamburger SV - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Augsburg	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.12.25	Barcelona - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
23.08.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Werder Bremen	4:1
05.04.25	Werder Bremen - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:0
23.11.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - Werder Bremen	1:0
05.04.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - Werder Bremen	1:1
12.11.23	Werder Bremen - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:2
18.02.23	Eintracht Frankfurt - Werder Bremen	2:0
28.08.22	Werder Bremen - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:4

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