The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
El Linqueño 51.6%
Draw 29.9%
Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo 18.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.2%
28.2%
19.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.9%
27.3%
19%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Linqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Linqueño than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
El Linqueño - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cuesta J. (G) 11. Cordoba N. 4. Coria J. 8. Ferraro F. 6. Levato T. 7. Luques J. 5. Malinauskas J. 10. Meli F. 2. Meza D. 9. Nunez L. 3. Veinticinco J.
1. Vizgarra K. (G) 10. Bacas T. 2. Benitez V. 11. Bertacin J. 3. Broglia M. 5. Duarte K. 6. Gay F. 7. Luna E. 8. Medina G. 4. Ponce A. 9. Roige E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Roige E. 🟨,
23', Garcia Pereyra J. 🟨,
32', Duarte K. 🟨,
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 0 - 1, Tuset M. ⚽,
73', Cuesta J. 🟨,
73', Cabrera U. 🟨,
79', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
80', 🟨,
82', 0 - 2, Luna E. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 7 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Linqueño won 0.
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
Def Belgrano VR may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, El Linqueño is the team to beat.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, El Linqueño won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, El Linqueño won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
Watch
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Cuesta J. (G) 
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