The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
El Paso Locomotive 38.6%
Draw 27.5%
Tampa Bay Rowdies 33.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.9%
25.8%
23.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.3%
25.1%
22.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that El Paso Locomotive's form might have worsened.
Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tampa Bay Rowdies's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+13.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Paso Locomotive, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tampa Bay Rowdies, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
El Paso Locomotive - Tampa Bay Rowdies Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Diaz B. (G) 2. Navarro M. 4. McCue E. 3. Pavkovics B. 5. Borelli C. E. N. (C) 10. Kostyshyn D. 22. Rose L. 6. Calvillo E. 7. Gomez J. 9. Solignac L. 31. Hinds N.
1. Sparrow C. (G) 16. LaCava J. 2. Antley W. C. 3. Lasso F. 33. Guillen A. (C) 7. Ekra Y. 22. Doherty J. 23. Dalgaard S. 14. Dennis C. 34. Spaulding R. 9. Williams J.
Substitutes
11. Garcia C. 13. Garcia J. (G) 20. Herrera C. 16. Lyons M. 8. Moreno L. 21. Sonupe E. 17. Zacarias R.
8. Areman J. 15. Breno P. (G) 26. Jennings C. 17. Johnson T. 19. Kleemann F.
Coaches
Clarhaut B.
Collins N.
Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
El Paso has the most likely position - 1 (17.15%), project points - 57, currently - 26, a very good chance of playoffs (96%), a chance of qtrs (49%), a chance of semis (23%), a small chance of final (11%), a small chance of win league (6%).
Tampa Bay has the most likely position - 1 (23.93%), project points - 56, currently - 24, a very good chance of playoffs (99%), a good chance of qtrs (68%), a chance of semis (40%), a chance of final (23%), a small chance of win league (11%).
This event has small quality21, very small importance8, small match rating15. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
One and the other team during the last matches got a chain of wins.
El Paso could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Tampa Bay have a series of home games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 1 head-to-head matches El Paso won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
Watch
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Diaz B. (G) 
Navarro M. 
Pavkovics B. 
Borelli C. E. N. (C) 
Kostyshyn D. 
Rose L. 
Calvillo E. 
Solignac L. 
Ekra Y. 
Doherty J. 
Dalgaard S. 
Dennis C. 
Collins N. 
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