Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 29

Date: 4 March 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche)

Referee: Vega A. C. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Max
Greece	Nova Sports
Portugal	Eleven Sports 3
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Elche		Alcorcón

	1	X	2
	1.45	4	9	Watch
	1.46	3.8	7
	1.47	3.75	8	Watch
	1.47	4	8.4
	1.49	4.15	8.52
	1.48	4.05	7.7	Watch
	1.46	4	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.79)	3.96 ↑ (3.23)	8 ↑ (4.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Elche
64.4%

Draw
23.8%

Alcorcón
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

29%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

28.2%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elche's performance.

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alcorcón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elche that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcorcón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71%	19.4%	9.7%

Elche - Alcorcón Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Elche will win (votes: 22 - 71%). Alcorcón will win (votes: 3 - 9.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 19.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elche: 55% – 87%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dituro M. (G) 17. Josan 5. Donald J. 6. Bigas P. (C) 23. Clerc C. 30. Mendoza R. 8. Puigmal A. 21. Castro N. 11. Tete Morente 19. El Ghezouani M. 22. Mercau N.	13. Anacker L. (G) 17. Garcia V. 6. Babin J. 23. Chema 2. Castro J. 8. Rodriganez J. 18. Eteki Y. 14. Fede 19. Quintilla X. 10. Juanma Bravo 9. Borrego C.
Substitutes
9. Bermejo 14. Febas A. 18. Garces B. 4. Gonzalez D. 35. Lopez D. 2. Mario Gaspar 10. Nieto M. 37. Nunez R. 12. Salinas J. 20. Salvador C. 1. San Roman M. (G)	26. Addai E. 22. Artola J. 24. Bilbao I. 29. Callis E. 15. Lara J. 3. Morillas D. 5. Mosquera P. 21. Obieta K. 4. Rivas Viondi O. 1. Ruiz J. (G) 33. Sanca M.
Coaches
Beccacece S.	Nafti M.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Elche won 3.

Elche is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Alcorcón is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Elche is absolute favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Elche won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Elche won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga2
25.02.24	Cartagena - Elche	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Elche - Eibar	0:0 ✺
10.02.24	Amorebieta - Elche	1:0 ✺
02.02.24	Elche - Burgos	2:0 ✺
28.01.24	FC Andorra - Elche	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTLWW
- AD Alcorcón
Spanish LaLiga2
25.02.24	Alcorcón - Tenerife	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Leganés - Alcorcón	3:0 ✺
11.02.24	Alcorcón - FC Andorra	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Huesca - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
27.01.24	Alcorcón - Zaragoza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
03.12.23	Alcorcón - Elche	0:2
Club Friendly
02.08.23	Elche - Alcorcón	0:0
Spanish LaLiga2
19.01.20	Elche - Alcorcón	1:1
24.08.19	Alcorcón - Elche	1:2
23.03.19	Elche - Alcorcón	3:1
18.11.18	Alcorcón - Elche	1:0
10.03.17	Elche - Alcorcón	0:0

Upcoming Matches