Match Info

LaLiga - Round 26

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	10:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	17:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	00:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	14:00	DAZN 2, DAZN
Bangladesh	19:00	Begin
Bolivia	09:00	ESPN 2
Brazil	10:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	15:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	08:00	TSN+
China	21:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	08:00	ESPN 2
Croatia	14:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	14:00	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	14:00	TV2 Play
Ecuador	08:00	ESPN 2
Finland	15:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	14:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	17:00	Silk Sport 1
Germany	14:00	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	15:00	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	21:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	14:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	18:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	15:00	ONE Sport
Italy	14:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	22:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	16:00	Gotv
Kosovo	14:00	Arena Premium 4
Laos	20:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	14:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	07:00	Canal 5, Izzi TV, Sky Sport, TUDN
Netherlands	14:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	02:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	14:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	14:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Paraguay	10:00	ESPN 2
Peru	08:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Philippines	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	14:00	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	13:00	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	15:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	16:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	14:00	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	21:00	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	14:00	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	14:00	Arena Sport 3
South Africa	15:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
Spain	14:00	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga, RTVE Play, Teledeporte
Sweden	14:00	TV4 Play
Switzerland	14:00	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	20:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	16:00	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	15:00	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	13:00	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	08:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
Vietnam	20:00	SCTV 15


	Elche		Espanyol

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.3	2.88	Watch
	2.4	3.25	3
	2.48	3.2	2.98	Watch
	2.53	3.27	3.11
	2.5	3.28	2.92	Watch
	2.4	3.1	3
	2.51	3.31	3.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.45)	3.24 ↑ (3.13)	3.01 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche
38.8%

Draw
29.5%

Espanyol
31.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.6%

30.2%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

31.2%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Espanyol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
39.1%	34.8%	26.1%

Elche - Espanyol Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Elche will win (votes: 9 - 39.1%). Espanyol will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 34.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elche: 19.2% – 59%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Elche (votes: 2 - 40%). Espanyol (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dituro M. (G) 15. Tete Morente 22. Affengruber D. 6. Bigas P. (C) 21. Petrot L. 14. Febas A. 8. Aguado M. 11. Valera G. 24. Cepeda L. 10. Mir R. 9. Andre Silva	13. Dmitrovic M. (G) 23. El Hilali O. 38. Riedel C. 6. Cabrera L. (C) 22. Romero C. 11. Milla P. 10. Lozano P. 4. Gonzalez U. 24. Dolan T. 19. Garcia K. 8. Exposito
Substitutes
32. Boayar A. 42. Buba Sangare 23. Chust V. 19. Diangana G. 18. Donald J. 17. Josan 16. Neto M. 3. Pedrosa A. 13. Pena I. (G) 5. Redondo Solari F. 20. Rodriguez A. 12. Villar G.	5. Calero F. 9. Fernandez Jaen R. 1. Fortuno A. (G) 17. Jofre 16. Ngonge C. 18. Pickel C. 15. Rubio M. 12. Salinas J. 2. Sanchez R. 14. Terrats R. 30. Tristan P. (G)
Coaches
Sarabia E.	Gonzalez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Garcia K. ⚽, Lozano P. (A),
29', Dolan T. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Aguado M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bigas P. ↓, Chust V. ↑,
50', Gonzalez U. 🟨,
57', 1 - 2, Romero C. ⚽, Exposito (A),
58', Milla P. ↓, Jofre ↑,
58', Lozano P. ↓, Pickel C. ↑,
66', Tete Morente ↓, Josan ↑,
73', Cepeda L. ↓, Diangana G. ↑,
73', Andre Silva ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
74', Exposito 🟨,
76', Exposito ↓, Terrats R. ↑,
76', Garcia K. ↓, Fernandez Jaen R. ↑,
76', Valera G. ↓, Pedrosa A. ↑,
77', Fernandez Jaen R. 🟨,
90', 2 - 2, Mir R. (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', Pickel C. 🟨,
90+5', Pickel C. 🟨,
90+7', Dolan T. ↓, Rubio M. ↑,
90+8', Mir R. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elche won 0.

A run of poor results has hit both teams ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Elche: Fort H. (Shoulder Injury) Santiago Y. (Red Card)

There will not play in Espanyol: Puado J. (Knee Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Elche won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Elche won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Elche	10	2	4	4	14:17	-3	10
18	Espanyol	10	2	2	6	12:14	-2	8

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Espanyol: 0.17% Elche: 0.14%

Last Results with these Odds

Espanyol - the odds 3.03 are the expected chance of winning is 31.19%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga
20.02.26	Athletic Bilbao - Elche	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Elche - Osasuna	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Real Sociedad - Elche	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	Elche - Barcelona	1:3 ✺
23.01.26	Levante - Elche	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL
- RCD Espanyol
Spanish LaLiga
21.02.26	Atlético Madrid - Espanyol	4:2 ✺
14.02.26	Espanyol - Celta de Vigo	2:2 ✺
09.02.26	Villarreal - Espanyol	4:1 ✺
30.01.26	Espanyol - Deportivo Alavés	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Valencia - Espanyol	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
25.10.25	Espanyol - Elche	1:0
Spanish LaLiga2
27.04.24	Elche - Espanyol	2:2
18.11.23	Espanyol - Elche	2:0
Spanish LaLiga
19.02.23	Elche - Espanyol	0:1
23.10.22	Espanyol - Elche	2:2
10.01.22	Espanyol - Elche	1:2
23.10.21	Elche - Espanyol	2:2

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