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Elche - Osasuna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • LaLiga - Round 24
  • Date: 13 February 2026, Friday
  • Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche)
  • Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Elche Osasuna
    Elche Osasuna
    1 X 2
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    betsson 2.98 3.05 2.58 Watch and Bet Watch
    Bet_in_Asia 3.05 3.2 2.63
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    Bovada 2.9 3.2 2.54
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.94 ↑
    (2.82)    		 3.16 ↑
    (3.02)    		 2.58 ↓
    (2.73)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

    • The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Elche
    32.6%    		Draw
    30.3%    		Osasuna
    37.1%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    33.7% 31.5% 34.8%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    34% 31.8% 34.5%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Osasuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    9.6% 55.8% 34.6%

    Elche - Osasuna Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Elche will win (votes: 5 - 10%). Osasuna will win (votes: 16 - 32%). It will Tie (votes: 29 - 58%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 44.3% – 71.7%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Osasuna (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Tie (votes: 12 - 70.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Elche (2.09) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Elche (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Elche (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Elche (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Osasuna (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Tie (votes: 12 - 52.2%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. ArgentinaDituro M. (G)
    21. FrancePetrot L.
    23. SpainChust V.
      6. SpainBigas P. (C)
    11. SpainValera G.
    24. ChileCepeda L.
    14. SpainFebas A.
      8. SpainAguado M.
    15. SpainTete Morente
      9. PortugalAndre Silva
    20. UruguayRodriguez A.
    		  1. SpainHerrera S. (G)
    19. FranceRosier V.
    24. SpainCatena A.
      5. SpainHerrando J.
    20. SpainGalan J.
      6. SpainTorro L.
      8. SpainMunoz I.
    14. SpainGarcia R. (C)
    21. SpainMunoz V.
    10. SpainOroz A.
    17. CroatiaBudimir A.
    Substitutes
    32. MoroccoBoayar A.
    42. SpainBuba Sangare
    31. SpainDelgado D.
    18. SpainDonald J.
    45. SpainIturbe A. (G)
    10. SpainMir R.
    16. PortugalNeto M.
      3. SpainPedrosa A.
    13. SpainPena I. (G)
      5. ArgentinaRedondo Solari F.
      7. SpainSantiago Y.
    12. SpainVillar G.
    		41. SpainArguibide I.
    11. SpainBarja K.
    23. SpainBretones A.
      3. SpainCruz J.
    13. SpainFernandez A. (G)
      9. SpainGarcia R.
    16. SpainGomez M.
      7. SpainMoncayola J.
    18. SpainMoro R.
    29. SpainOsambela A.
    Coaches
         SpainSarabia E.
    		     ItalyLisci A.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 37', Aguado M. 🟨,
    • 37', Budimir A. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
    • 53', Torro L. 🟨,
    • 66', Munoz I. ↓, Moncayola J. ↑,
    • 66', Torro L. ↓, Osambela A. ↑,
    • 67', Munoz V. ↓, Moro R. ↑,
    • 73', Osambela A. 🟨,
    • 74', Budimir A. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
    • 79', Tete Morente 🟨,
    • 80', Aguado M. ↓, Donald J. ↑,
    • 80', Cepeda L. ↓, Neto M. ↑,
    • 85', Garcia R. 🟨,
    • 85', Tete Morente ↓, Santiago Y. ↑,
    • 86', Andre Silva ↓, Mir R. ↑,
    • 86', Garcia R. ↓, Bretones A. ↑,

    Preview

  • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 9).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elche won 0.
  • Elche has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
  • Osasuna is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
  • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
  • There will not play in Elche: Affengruber D. (Yellow Cards) Fort H. (Shoulder Injury)
  • There will not play in Osasuna: Benito I. (Knee Injury) Boyomo F. (Injury)
  • There are questionable in Elche: Buba Aboubacar (Injury) Diangana G. (Injury) Josan (Injury)
  • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Elche won 1 match, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 0.9:1.2).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Elche won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).

    • Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now
    Osasuna: 0.26% Elche: 0.2%

    Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    13Osasuna72236:13-78
    18Elche712411:17-65

    Last Results with these Odds

    Elche - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 33.71%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

    Osasuna - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 34.82%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Elche CF
    Spanish LaLiga
    07.02.26 Real Sociedad - Elche 3:1 ✺
    31.01.26 Elche - Barcelona 1:3 ✺
    23.01.26 Levante - Elche 3:2 ✺
    19.01.26 Elche - Sevilla 2:2 ✺
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    14.01.26 Betis - Elche 2:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1
    LLLTL
    - Osasuna
    Spanish LaLiga
    06.02.26 Celta de Vigo - Osasuna 1:2 ✺
    31.01.26 Osasuna - Villarreal 2:2 ✺
    24.01.26 Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna 1:3 ✺
    17.01.26 Osasuna - Real Oviedo 3:2 ✺
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    13.01.26 Real Sociedad - Osasuna 3:2 penalties ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5
    WTWWL
    Latest Head to Head
    Spanish LaLiga
    25.09.25 Osasuna - Elche 1:1
    08.04.23 Osasuna - Elche 2:1
    22.01.23 Elche - Osasuna 1:1
    01.05.22 Elche - Osasuna 1:1
    29.11.21 Osasuna - Elche 1:1
    18.04.21 Osasuna - Elche 2:0
    22.12.20 Elche - Osasuna 2:2
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Elche CF
    Spanish LaLiga
    11.10.26 Elche - Celta de Vigo ✺
    - Osasuna
    Spanish LaLiga
    11.10.26 Betis - Osasuna ✺

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