What is the expert prediction for Real Sociedad vs Elche?

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Real Sociedad vs Elche Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, February 07, 2026)

Match Info

LaLiga - Round 23

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Reale Arena (San Sebastian)

Referee: Guzman J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 3
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Disney+, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Real Sociedad		Elche

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.1	5	Watch
	1.66	3.9	5
	1.65	4.15	4.95	Watch
	1.66	4.09	5.38
	1.66	4.03	5.13	Watch
	1.65	3.8	4.8
	1.66	4.18	5.36	Watch
	1.63	4.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.63)	4.06 ↓ (4.1)	5.08 ↓ (5.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad
57.7%

Draw
23.5%

Elche
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

23.2%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

22.2%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Elche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.5%	9.6%	3.8%

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Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.5 - Elche (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Real Sociedad (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Elche (4.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Real Sociedad (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Real Sociedad (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Real Sociedad will win (44 of 51 users predict this - 86.27%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.82% – 95.72%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Sociedad will win (24 of 24 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 29 high ROI users predict this event. Real Sociedad (votes: 27 - 93.1%). Elche (votes: 2 - 6.9%).

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Remiro A. (G) 20. Odriozola A. 5. Zubeldia I. 16. Caleta-Car D. 17. Gomez S. 15. Marin P. 4. Gorrotxategi J. 18. Soler C. 24. Sucic L. 11. Guedes G. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C)	13. Pena I. (G) 18. Donald J. 23. Chust V. 22. Affengruber D. 21. Petrot L. 11. Valera G. 19. Diangana G. 16. Neto M. 14. Febas A. (C) 20. Rodriguez A. 9. Andre Silva
Substitutes
2. Aramburu J. 26. Diaz D. 6. Elustondo A. 32. Fraga A. (G) 12. Herrera Y. 19. Karrikaburu J. 31. Martin J. 3. Munoz A. 47. Ochieng J. 9. Oskarsson O. 8. Turrientes B. 22. Wesley	8. Aguado M. 6. Bigas P. 32. Boayar A. 24. Cepeda L. 31. Delgado D. 1. Dituro M. (G) 45. Iturbe A. (G) 3. Pedrosa A. 5. Redondo Solari F. 7. Santiago Y. 15. Tete Morente 12. Villar G.
Coaches
Matarazzo P.	Sarabia E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', Affengruber D. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Sucic L. ⚽, Guedes G. (A),
29', Sucic L. ↓, Turrientes B. ↑,
37', 2 - 0, Oyarzabal M. ⚽,
42', 2 - 1, Andre Silva ⚽,
45+3', Matarazzo P. 🟨,
45+4', Febas A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Donald J. ↓, Pedrosa A. ↑,
55', Neto M. ↓, Aguado M. ↑,
65', Guedes G. ↓, Ochieng J. ↑,
65', Odriozola A. ↓, Aramburu J. ↑,
65', Diangana G. 🟨,
73', Chust V. ↓, Bigas P. ↑,
73', Petrot L. ↓, Cepeda L. ↑,
79', Diangana G. ↓, Villar G. ↑,
82', Soler C. ↓, Herrera Y. ↑,
82', Oyarzabal M. ↓, Oskarsson O. ↑,
87', Villar G. 🟨,
89', 3 - 1, Oskarsson O. ⚽, Gorrotxategi J. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 4.

Real Sociedad is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Elche has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Elche may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Real Sociedad is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Barrenetxea A. (Muscle Injury) Kubo T. (Hamstring Injury) Marrero U. (Face Injury) Mendez B. (Red Card) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury) Zakharyan A. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Elche: Buba Aboubacar (Injury) Fort H. (Shoulder Injury) Josan (Injury) Mir R. (Muscle Injury)

We predict that Real Sociedad will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:4. (average 1.8:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Sociedad won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:0. (average 2.4:0).

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Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Real Sociedad	29	10	8	11	44:45	-1	38
17	Elche	29	6	11	12	38:46	-8	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.02.26	Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad	2:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
01.02.26	Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Real Sociedad - Celta de Vigo	3:1 ✺
18.01.26	Real Sociedad - Barcelona	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.01.26	Real Sociedad - Osasuna	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 WTWWW
- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga
31.01.26	Elche - Barcelona	1:3 ✺
23.01.26	Levante - Elche	3:2 ✺
19.01.26	Elche - Sevilla	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
14.01.26	Betis - Elche	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
10.01.26	Valencia - Elche	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
07.11.25	Elche - Real Sociedad	1:1
19.03.23	Real Sociedad - Elche	2:0
27.08.22	Elche - Real Sociedad	0:1
10.04.22	Elche - Real Sociedad	1:2
26.09.21	Real Sociedad - Elche	1:0
07.05.21	Real Sociedad - Elche	2:0
26.09.20	Elche - Real Sociedad	0:3

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