Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 17

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Waldstadion Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg)

Referee: Eckermann M. P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Elversberg		Freiburg II

	1	X	2
	1.66	4.2	4
	1.68	3.9	4.6
	1.6	3.9	4.8
	1.67	3.9	4.4
	1.73	3.98	4.82
	1.63	3.6	4.5
	1.65	3.98	4.7	Watch
	1.66	3.8	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.68)	3.91 ↑ (3.8)	4.5 ↓ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elversberg
55.8%

Draw
23.7%

Freiburg II
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

24.4%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

24.4%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Freiburg II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.5%	0%	10.5%

Elversberg - Freiburg II Predictions

Users Predictions: Elversberg will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Elversberg won 0.

Elversberg is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Freiburg II is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Freiburg II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Elversberg is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Elversberg won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Elversberg won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Elversberg
German 3 Bundesliga
08.11.22	Bayreuth - Elversberg	0:1 ✺
05.11.22	Elversberg - Borussia Dortmund II	3:1 ✺
29.10.22	Erzgebirge Aue - Elversberg	1:1 ✺
22.10.22	Elversberg - Osnabrück	4:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.10.22	Elversberg - Bochum	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWTWL
- Freiburg II
German 3 Bundesliga
09.11.22	Freiburg II - 1860 München	2:0 ✺
05.11.22	Dynamo Dresden - Freiburg II	1:1 ✺
30.10.22	Freiburg II - Oldenburg	1:0 ✺
21.10.22	Zwickau - Freiburg II	0:1 ✺
15.10.22	Freiburg II - Waldhof Mannheim	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
05.06.21	Elversberg - Freiburg II	1:1
19.12.20	Freiburg II - Elversberg	1:1
08.12.19	Freiburg II - Elversberg	0:0
10.08.19	Elversberg - Freiburg II	0:0
06.04.19	Freiburg II - Elversberg	2:0
29.09.18	Elversberg - Freiburg II	3:2
31.03.18	Elversberg - Freiburg II	0:0

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