Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 18

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Olympiastadion (Berlin)

Referee: Haslberger W. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Hertha Berlin		Schalke 04

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.88	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.88	Watch
	2.53	3.24	2.87	Watch
	2.45	3	2.8
	2.63	3.23	2.76	Watch
	2.54	3.1	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.43)	3.15 ↑ (3.14)	2.84 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hertha Berlin
37.2%

Draw
29.8%

Schalke 04
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

29.5%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

30.4%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hertha Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Hertha Berlin - Schalke 04 Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Hertha will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Schalke will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hertha: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH 0 - Schalke (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hertha Berlin will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Hertha (votes: 3 - 75%). Schalke (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Gersbeck M. (G) 42. Zeefuik D. 44. Gechter L. 31. Dardai M. 33. Karbownik M. 23. Eichhorn K. 30. Seguin P. 14. Krattenmacher M. 10. Cuisance M. 22. Winkler M. 18. Schuler L.	1. Karius L. (G) 5. Becker T. 25. Katic N. 4. Kurucay H. 35. Wallentowitz M. 23. El-Faouzi S. 6. Schallenberg R. 33. Becker V. 8. Younes A. 19. Karaman K. 9. Sylla M.
Substitutes
28. Dudziak J. 2. Eitschberger J. 43. Goller T. (G) 17. Gronning S. 41. Klemens P. 9. Kownacki D. 11. Reese F. 8. Sessa K. 24. Thorsteinsson J. D.	47. Amoussou-Tchibara Z. 43. Ayhan M. 17. Gantenbein A. 7. Gomis C. 3. Leonard D. 32. Podlech L. (G) 46. Popperl P. 27. Porath F. 2. Sanchez F.
Coaches
Leitl S.	Muslic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Schuler L. 🟨,
35', Krattenmacher M. ↓, Dudziak J. ↑,
45+1', Eichhorn K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Wallentowitz M. ↓, Gantenbein A. ↑,
62', Younes A. ↓, Gomis C. ↑,
72', Kurucay H. 🟨,
72', Gechter L. 🟨,
75', Schuler L. ↓, Kownacki D. ↑,
75', Winkler M. ↓, Reese F. ↑,
75', Becker T. ↓, Ayhan M. ↑,
83', Gantenbein A. ↓, Porath F. ↑,
88', El-Faouzi S. 🟨,
88', Cuisance M. 🟨,
89', Eichhorn K. ↓, Sessa K. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hertha won 2.

Hertha has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Schalke is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Hertha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Hertha has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Hertha: Brooks J. (Ankle Injury) Jensen L. (Injury) Krattenmacher M. (Inactive) Leistner T. (Red Card)

There will not play in Schalke: Bachmann J. (Health problems) Donkor A. (Ankle Injury) Heekeren J. (Muscle Injury) Hojlund E. (Heel Injury) Kalas T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Lasme B. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Hertha: Kolbe N. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hertha won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 31:31. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Hertha won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.9:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Hertha Berlin	6	6	0	0	17:7	10	18

Last Results with these Odds

Hertha Berlin - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.19%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Schalke 04 - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 32.27%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hertha Berlin
Club Friendly
09.01.26	Hertha Berlin - Standard Liège	2:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
19.12.25	Hertha Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1 ✺
12.12.25	Greuther Fürth - Hertha Berlin	3:3 ✺
07.12.25	Hertha Berlin - Magdeburg	0:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
02.12.25	Hertha Berlin - Kaiserslautern	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTTLW
- Schalke 04
Club Friendly
10.01.26	Osnabrück - Schalke 04	0:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
21.12.25	Eintracht Braunschweig - Schalke 04	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Schalke 04 - Nürnberg	1:0 ✺
05.12.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Schalke 04	0:2 ✺
28.11.25	Schalke 04 - Paderborn	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
01.08.25	Schalke 04 - Hertha Berlin	2:1
08.03.25	Hertha Berlin - Schalke 04	1:2
05.10.24	Schalke 04 - Hertha Berlin	2:2
17.03.24	Hertha Berlin - Schalke 04	5:2
08.10.23	Schalke 04 - Hertha Berlin	1:2
German Bundesliga
14.04.23	Schalke 04 - Hertha Berlin	5:2
23.10.22	Hertha Berlin - Schalke 04	2:1

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