Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 19

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: BBBank Wildpark (Karlsruhe)

Referee: Bauer T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Karlsruher		Hertha Berlin

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.7	2	Watch
	3.4	3.75	2.05
	3.25	3.6	2	Watch
	3.53	3.91	2.06
	3.42	3.73	2.03	Watch
	3.3	3.5	1.95	Watch
	3.62	3.74	1.97	Watch
	3.4	3.66	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (2.87)	3.7 ↑ (3.57)	2.01 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlsruher
27.6%

Draw
25.5%

Hertha Berlin
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

25.9%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

25.7%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlsruher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Hertha Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hertha Berlin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hertha Berlin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.5%	35.3%	41.2%

Karlsruher - Hertha Berlin Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Karlsruher will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Hertha will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hertha: 17.8% – 64.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Karlsruher (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Karlsruher (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bernat C. (G) 2. Jung S. 15. Scholl P. 28. Franke M. 20. Herold D. 7. Burnic D. 16. Muller A. 11. Forster P. 10. Wanitzek M. 24. Schleusener F. 19. Ben Farhat L.	1. Ernst T. (G) 42. Zeefuik D. 44. Gechter L. 31. Dardai M. 33. Karbownik M. 8. Sessa K. 30. Seguin P. 22. Winkler M. 10. Cuisance M. 11. Reese F. 18. Schuler L.
Substitutes
5. Ambrosius S. 25. Egloff L. 13. Fukuda S. 30. Himmelmann R. (G) 44. Laghrissi E. 17. Opitz L. 36. Pinto Pedrosa R. 9. Simic R. 21. Waschenbach M.	28. Dudziak J. 2. Eitschberger J. 35. Gersbeck M. (G) 17. Gronning S. 41. Klemens P. 9. Kownacki D. 37. Leistner T. 21. Mamuzah Lum B. 24. Thorsteinsson J. D.
Coaches
Eichner C.	Leitl S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', Zeefuik D. 🟨,
7', 1 - 0, Schleusener F. ⚽, Forster P. (A),
17', Forster P. 🟨,
19', 1 - 1, Reese F. ⚽, Sessa K. (A),
26', 2 - 1, Jung S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', Seguin P. 🟨,
66', Sessa K. ↓, Kownacki D. ↑,
66', Winkler M. ↓, Dudziak J. ↑,
75', Ben Farhat L. ↓, Egloff L. ↑,
75', Forster P. ↓, Pinto Pedrosa R. ↑,
77', Egloff L. 🟨,
77', Zeefuik D. ↓, Eitschberger J. ↑,
79', 2 - 2, Dudziak J. ⚽, Reese F. (A),
81', Burnic D. 🟨,
82', Muller A. ↓, Waschenbach M. ↑,
86', Schuler L. ↓, Gronning S. ↑,
90', Schleusener F. ↓, Ambrosius S. ↑,
90', Burnic D. ↓, Opitz L. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karlsruher won 1.

Recent performances by Karlsruher have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hertha has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Hertha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Hertha has had a series of home games.

Hertha is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Karlsruher: Beifus M. (Knee Injury) Kobald C. (Calf Injury) Rapp N. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Hertha: Brooks J. (Ankle Injury) Demme D. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Hertha: Kolbe N. (Injury) Krattenmacher M. (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Karlsruher won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Karlsruher won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Hertha Berlin: 32.01%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Hertha Berlin	6	6	0	0	17:7	10	18
17	Karlsruher SC	6	1	2	3	6:12	-6	5

Last Results with these Odds

Karlsruher - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 32.25%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karlsruher SC
German 2 Bundesliga
17.01.26	Preußen Münster - Karlsruher	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
10.01.26	Karlsruher - Slavia Prague	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Karlsruher - Thun	Canceled ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
20.12.25	Bochum - Karlsruher	2:2 ✺
13.12.25	Karlsruher - Paderborn	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WT?TL
- Hertha Berlin
German 2 Bundesliga
17.01.26	Hertha Berlin - Schalke 04	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.01.26	Hertha Berlin - Standard Liège	2:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
19.12.25	Hertha Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1 ✺
12.12.25	Greuther Fürth - Hertha Berlin	3:3 ✺
07.12.25	Hertha Berlin - Magdeburg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
10.08.25	Hertha Berlin - Karlsruher	0:0
29.03.25	Hertha Berlin - Karlsruher	3:1
26.10.24	Karlsruher - Hertha Berlin	1:3
21.04.24	Karlsruher - Hertha Berlin	3:2
11.11.23	Hertha Berlin - Karlsruher	2:2
Club Friendly
27.07.14	Karlsruher - Hertha Berlin	0:1

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