Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EREDIVISIE - ROUND 23

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday

Location: De Oude Meerdijk (Emmen)

Referee: Kamphuis J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	Emmen		Go Ahead Eagles

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	3	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.95
	2.48	3.2	2.95
	2.6	3.23	3
	2.5	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.48	3.24	2.93	Watch
	2.55	3.25	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.21)	3.17 ↓ (3.45)	2.95 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emmen
37.8%

Draw
30%

Go Ahead Eagles
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

27.2%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

26.4%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Go Ahead Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Emmen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	53.8%	15.4%

Emmen - Go Ahead Eagles Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Emmen will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Go Ahead will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation) and 12).

Emmen has the most likely position - 15 (22.45%), has project points - 30, has currently - 17, has a chance of relegated (46%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Go Ahead has the most likely position - 12 (18.63%), has project points - 40, has currently - 25, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 45, importance 32, match rating 38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Emmen won 3.

Emmen is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Go Ahead is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Emmen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Emmen won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Emmen won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Emmen
Dutch Eredivisie
18.02.23	Groningen - Emmen	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Emmen - Fortuna Sittard	0:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
08.02.23	PSV Eindhoven - Emmen	3:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
04.02.23	Emmen - Vitesse	2:2 ✺
28.01.23	Waalwijk - Emmen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLTL
- Go Ahead Eagles
Dutch Eredivisie
19.02.23	Go Ahead Eagles - Twente	2:0 ✺
12.02.23	Sparta Rotterdam - Go Ahead Eagles	2:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
09.02.23	ADO Den Haag - Go Ahead Eagles	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
05.02.23	Go Ahead Eagles - NEC Nijmegen	1:0 ✺
01.02.23	Waalwijk - Go Ahead Eagles	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
18.09.22	Go Ahead Eagles - Emmen	2:0
Club Friendly
31.07.21	Go Ahead Eagles - Emmen	1:2
23.07.19	Go Ahead Eagles - Emmen	2:3
04.08.18	Go Ahead Eagles - Emmen	2:2
Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.02.18	Go Ahead Eagles - Emmen	0:1
22.09.17	Emmen - Go Ahead Eagles	0:0
04.03.16	Go Ahead Eagles - Emmen	0:0

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