The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Emmen 43.4%
Draw 28%
Fortuna Sittard 28.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.7%
26%
26.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51%
27.8%
24.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Emmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Fortuna Sittard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Emmen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.1%
54.5%
36.4%
Emmen - Fortuna Sittard Predictions
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Emmen will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 54.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.7% – 75.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation) and 11).
Emmen has the most likely position - 15 (18.06%), has project points - 32, has currently - 16, has a chance of relegated (35%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Fortuna Sittard has the most likely position - 13 (16.04%), has project points - 37, has currently - 23, has a small chance of relegated (12%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality43, importance42, match rating43. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Emmen won 3.
Emmen is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Fortuna Sittard is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Emmen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Emmen will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Emmen: Antonisse J.
(Illness)
Darfalou O.
(Injury)
Hardeveld J.
(Knee Injury)
Kieftenbeld M.
(Knee Injury)
Mendes R.
(Injury)
Zivkovic R.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Janssen R.
(Injury)
Navarro X.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Emmen: Guclu M.
(Injury)
Lieder M.
(Knee Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Emmen won 7 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 37-31.
Including matches at home between the teams Emmen won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-16.
Netherlands
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