The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Emmen 13.4%
Draw 20.7%
PSV Eindhoven 65.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
10.9%
17.7%
71.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
10.5%
17%
74.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Emmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
PSV Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and PSV Eindhoven might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that PSV Eindhoven could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.6%
18.2%
74.2%
Emmen - PSV Eindhoven Predictions
Users Predictions:
66 users predict this event. Emmen will win (votes: 5 - 7.6%). PSV will win (votes: 49 - 74.2%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for PSV: 63.6% – 84.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification)).
Emmen has the most likely position - 16 (16.31%), has project points - 31, has currently - 12, has a chance of relegated (42%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
PSV has the most likely position - 3 (23.1%), has project points - 68, has currently - 35, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (36%), has a small chance of win league (15%).
This event has quality54, importance56, match rating55. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Emmen won 0.
Emmen is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
PSV is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently Emmen have a series of guest games.
In this match PSV is certain favorite.
There will not play in Emmen: Burnet L.
(Injury)
Guclu M.
(Injury)
Hardeveld J.
(Knee Injury)
Kieftenbeld M.
(Knee Injury)
Lieder M.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in PSV: Boscagli O.
(Knee Injury)
Fofana F.
(Injury)
Saibari I.
(Injury)
Savio
(Injury)
There are questionable in Emmen: Darfalou O.
(Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Emmen won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-17.
Including matches at home between the teams Emmen won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.
Bulgaria
Croatia
Greece
Netherlands
Romania
Serbia
Slovakia
Ukraine
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