Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EREDIVISIE - ROUND 17

Date: 21 January 2023, Saturday

Location: Goffertstadion (Nijmegen)

Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	NEC Nijmegen		Emmen

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.75	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.75
	2.04	3.3	3.85
	2.01	3.25	3.75
	2.09	3.38	3.93
	2.05	3.2	3.8	Watch
	2.03	3.4	3.64	Watch
	2.08	3.35	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.82)	3.32 ↓ (3.68)	3.79 ↓ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NEC Nijmegen
46.3%

Draw
28.6%

Emmen
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

25.4%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Emmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.6%	27.3%	15.2%

NEC Nijmegen - Emmen Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 19 - 57.6%). Emmen will win (votes: 5 - 15.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 40.7% – 74.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).

Nijmegen has the most likely position - 9 (15.62%), has project points - 42, has currently - 19, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Emmen has the most likely position - 15 (13.72%), has project points - 33, has currently - 12, has a chance of relegated (36%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 47, small importance 29, match rating 38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nijmegen won 2.

Recent matches Emmen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nijmegen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nijmegen will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Nijmegen won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Nijmegen won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie
15.01.23	Vitesse - NEC Nijmegen	0:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
11.01.23	Almere City - NEC Nijmegen	0:4 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
08.01.23	NEC Nijmegen - Ajax	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
17.12.22	Emmen - NEC Nijmegen	3:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
13.11.22	NEC Nijmegen - Waalwijk	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TWTLW
- FC Emmen
Dutch Eredivisie
15.01.23	Emmen - Cambuur	0:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
11.01.23	VVV-Venlo - Emmen	2:3 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
06.01.23	Twente - Emmen	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
28.12.22	Feyenoord - Emmen	5:0 ✺
23.12.22	Emmen - Dordrecht	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
17.12.22	Emmen - NEC Nijmegen	3:2
Dutch Eredivisie
13.05.18	NEC Nijmegen - Emmen	4:1
10.05.18	Emmen - NEC Nijmegen	4:0
Dutch Eerste Divisie
02.02.18	Emmen - NEC Nijmegen	1:0
Dutch KNVB Beker
19.09.17	Emmen - NEC Nijmegen	1:3
Dutch Eerste Divisie
15.09.17	NEC Nijmegen - Emmen	1:1
Dutch Eredivisie
21.05.17	NEC Nijmegen - Emmen	1:0

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