Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EREDIVISIE - ROUND 15

Date: 6 January 2023, Friday

Location: De Grolsch Veste (Enschede)

Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	Twente		Emmen

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.33	7.5	Watch
	1.44	4.6	7.25
	1.4	4.7	8
	1.41	4.5	7.2
	1.42	4.85	8.24
	1.4	4.33	8	Watch
	1.4	4.65	7.6	Watch
	1.44	4.7	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.5)	4.58 ↑ (4.27)	7.67 ↑ (6.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Twente
67%

Draw
20.7%

Emmen
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

22%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Emmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.1%	5.5%	5.5%

Twente - Emmen Predictions

Users Predictions: Twente will win (114 of 128 users predict this - 89.06%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.65% – 94.47%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs) and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).

Twente has the most likely position - 5 (25.97%), has project points - 61, has currently - 27, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (9%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Emmen has the most likely position - 14 (12.56%), has project points - 35, has currently - 11, has a chance of relegated (27%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 54, importance 33, match rating 43. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Twente won 2.

Recent matches Twente is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Emmen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Twente have a series of guest games.

In this match Twente is certain favorite.

There will not play in Twente: Brama W. (Injury) Brenet J. (Injury) Tzolis C. (Injury)

There will not play in Emmen: Hardeveld J. (Knee Injury) Kieftenbeld M. (Knee Injury) Lieder M. (Knee Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Twente won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Twente won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Twente
Club Friendly
21.12.22	Alajuelense - Twente	3:2 ✺
17.12.22	Alajuelense - Twente	2:2 ✺
10.12.22	Twente - Sparta Rotterdam	2:1 ✺
03.12.22	Almere City - Twente	1:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
11.11.22	Sparta Rotterdam - Twente	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTWTT
- FC Emmen
Club Friendly
28.12.22	Feyenoord - Emmen	5:0 ✺
23.12.22	Emmen - Dordrecht	4:0 ✺
17.12.22	Emmen - NEC Nijmegen	3:2 ✺
09.12.22	Emmen - Meppen	Canceled ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
12.11.22	Emmen - Ajax	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LWW?T

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
09.01.21	Emmen - Twente	1:4
03.10.20	Twente - Emmen	1:1
Club Friendly
05.09.20	Twente - Emmen	1:1
Dutch Eredivisie
11.02.20	Emmen - Twente	2:0
25.10.19	Twente - Emmen	4:1
Club Friendly
25.07.18	Twente - Emmen	1:5
14.01.18	Emmen - Twente	0:2

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